To The Moon

Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon

English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c

Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$ $微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$ $30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$ $10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$ On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high

The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$

Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets

  🌟🌟🌟The important question I must answer in order to balance risk & return in advanced short put trading is "At what price would I be happy to own 100 shares of this stock if the market crashes tomorrow?" If I want to maximise income while keeping panic at zero, I must anchor my strike price to a value where I actively want to be assigned. Eg: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ which is currently trading at USD 559.82 due to high demand wave & big target price upgrade from analysts.  AMD has a high IV. This means its options premiums are attractive. Let's look at USD 480 Strike Price expiring in 30 days.  The options market is pricing this USD 480 Put at a premium of USD 15. I execute a Sell to Open contract. I collect USD1500

Chang Pengyao (Oliver) @Oliver 的期权旅途 is a seasoned investor with years of hands-on options trading experience. Starting with a five-figure portfolio and gradually building it to an eight-figure level, he has gone through multiple market cycles, mistakes and drawdowns along the way. Over time, he developed a trading framework centred on probability, pricing, position sizing and risk management. “Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win.” Oliver quoted this line from The Art of War as the central idea behind his sharing. He used the Chu–Han Contention as an example. Liu Bang lost repeatedly to Xiang Yu in direct battles, yet Xiang Yu was ultimately the

Grateful for the Gains, Looking Ahead A little reflection on Tesla, SpaceX, and the opportunities that come with staying patient and disciplined in the markets. Tesla continues to be one of the most fascinating names in the market, with investors watching closely as the company pushes further into autonomy, robotics, Cybercab and the long-awaited Roadster. At the same time, SpaceX represents another major piece of the broader innovation story surrounding Elon Musk, from space technology and satellite connectivity to the possibilities that could reshape entire industries. For me, the biggest takeaway is not simply the price movement, but the importance of having the patience to let a trade develop and the discipline to take profits when the opportunity presents itself. I'm genuinely gratefu

$Micron Technology(MU)$ $SK hynix(SKHY)$ recently rebounded alongside the broader memory and semiconductor sectors after pulling back sharply from their recent highs. Both stocks surged around 18% on July 30, quickly recovering part of their earlier losses. The rally was mainly supported by improving market expectations for the memory supply outlook, as well as continued investment in AI infrastructure by major technology companies. From a fundamentals perspective, Micron’s latest results showed record revenue and earnings for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. Management also provided a stronger outlook for the fourth quarter. However, a sharp one-day rebound does not ne

I would choose Option D. I'm still bullish on Micron over the long term, so I see this pullback as an opportunity rather than a reason to panic. I'm not trying to catch the exact bottom. Instead, I'm adding gradually while keeping cash available if the sector weakens further. For me, the investment thesis hasn't changed. AI infrastructure, HBM demand, and data center memory growth remain intact, even as the market resets valuations after the earlier rally. That's why I'd rather accumulate quality companies at better prices than react emotionally. History has shown that the best long-term returns often come from buying quality businesses during periods of fear. If volatility remains high, I'd also consider a cash-secured put at a price where I'd genuinely be happy to own more shares. The p

🪙 IBIT ETF 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Understanding the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Learning About Cash-Secured Put Options 📖 Introduction The world of investing continues to evolve, and one of the most talked-about developments in recent years has been the introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Among them, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has become one of the largest and most widely recognized products available to investors. Managed by BlackRock, IBIT allows investors to gain exposure to the price movements of Bitcoin without having to purchase or store the cryptocurrency directly. For many people, buying and holding Bitcoin can seem complicated. Investors may have concerns about digital wallets, private keys, online security, or choosing a cryptocurrency exchange. A s

Short $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ for months. Got smoked into $280. Sat short and sold puts on it to monetize vol while I waited. Bought it back into last week’s selloff.

Turning my $25 into a high-momentum AI bucket! Just split my balance across $MU, $NVDA, $CRDO, and $NBIS using fractional shares. Targeting that 100% gain but keeping a tight 10% stop-loss just in case. Who else is riding the semiconductor wave this month? 🚀

$ulta beauty(ULTA)$   $Robinhood(HOOD)$   $TKO Group Holdings(TKO)$   Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. I still remember vividly I signed up for an options trading course with Terence Tan, a local options trader based of Singapore in 2019. I progressed from someone who know nothing about options to being confident to excute trades under my mentor guidance to now being able to do chart reading and make my own trades. I definitely struggled a lot to

Hi sell puts on nvdia daily and closed earn a few meals 

Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon

English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c

Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$ $微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$ $30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$ $10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$ On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high

Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets

The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$

  🌟🌟🌟The important question I must answer in order to balance risk & return in advanced short put trading is "At what price would I be happy to own 100 shares of this stock if the market crashes tomorrow?" If I want to maximise income while keeping panic at zero, I must anchor my strike price to a value where I actively want to be assigned. Eg: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ which is currently trading at USD 559.82 due to high demand wave & big target price upgrade from analysts.  AMD has a high IV. This means its options premiums are attractive. Let's look at USD 480 Strike Price expiring in 30 days.  The options market is pricing this USD 480 Put at a premium of USD 15. I execute a Sell to Open contract. I collect USD1500

Chang Pengyao (Oliver) @Oliver 的期权旅途 is a seasoned investor with years of hands-on options trading experience. Starting with a five-figure portfolio and gradually building it to an eight-figure level, he has gone through multiple market cycles, mistakes and drawdowns along the way. Over time, he developed a trading framework centred on probability, pricing, position sizing and risk management. “Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win.” Oliver quoted this line from The Art of War as the central idea behind his sharing. He used the Chu–Han Contention as an example. Liu Bang lost repeatedly to Xiang Yu in direct battles, yet Xiang Yu was ultimately the

$Micron Technology(MU)$ $SK hynix(SKHY)$ recently rebounded alongside the broader memory and semiconductor sectors after pulling back sharply from their recent highs. Both stocks surged around 18% on July 30, quickly recovering part of their earlier losses. The rally was mainly supported by improving market expectations for the memory supply outlook, as well as continued investment in AI infrastructure by major technology companies. From a fundamentals perspective, Micron’s latest results showed record revenue and earnings for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. Management also provided a stronger outlook for the fourth quarter. However, a sharp one-day rebound does not ne

Grateful for the Gains, Looking Ahead A little reflection on Tesla, SpaceX, and the opportunities that come with staying patient and disciplined in the markets. Tesla continues to be one of the most fascinating names in the market, with investors watching closely as the company pushes further into autonomy, robotics, Cybercab and the long-awaited Roadster. At the same time, SpaceX represents another major piece of the broader innovation story surrounding Elon Musk, from space technology and satellite connectivity to the possibilities that could reshape entire industries. For me, the biggest takeaway is not simply the price movement, but the importance of having the patience to let a trade develop and the discipline to take profits when the opportunity presents itself. I'm genuinely gratefu

🪙 IBIT ETF 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Understanding the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Learning About Cash-Secured Put Options 📖 Introduction The world of investing continues to evolve, and one of the most talked-about developments in recent years has been the introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Among them, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has become one of the largest and most widely recognized products available to investors. Managed by BlackRock, IBIT allows investors to gain exposure to the price movements of Bitcoin without having to purchase or store the cryptocurrency directly. For many people, buying and holding Bitcoin can seem complicated. Investors may have concerns about digital wallets, private keys, online security, or choosing a cryptocurrency exchange. A s

$ulta beauty(ULTA)$   $Robinhood(HOOD)$   $TKO Group Holdings(TKO)$   Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. I still remember vividly I signed up for an options trading course with Terence Tan, a local options trader based of Singapore in 2019. I progressed from someone who know nothing about options to being confident to excute trades under my mentor guidance to now being able to do chart reading and make my own trades. I definitely struggled a lot to

I would choose Option D. I'm still bullish on Micron over the long term, so I see this pullback as an opportunity rather than a reason to panic. I'm not trying to catch the exact bottom. Instead, I'm adding gradually while keeping cash available if the sector weakens further. For me, the investment thesis hasn't changed. AI infrastructure, HBM demand, and data center memory growth remain intact, even as the market resets valuations after the earlier rally. That's why I'd rather accumulate quality companies at better prices than react emotionally. History has shown that the best long-term returns often come from buying quality businesses during periods of fear. If volatility remains high, I'd also consider a cash-secured put at a price where I'd genuinely be happy to own more shares. The p

Short $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ for months. Got smoked into $280. Sat short and sold puts on it to monetize vol while I waited. Bought it back into last week’s selloff.

Hi sell puts on nvdia daily and closed earn a few meals 

Turning my $25 into a high-momentum AI bucket! Just split my balance across $MU, $NVDA, $CRDO, and $NBIS using fractional shares. Targeting that 100% gain but keeping a tight 10% stop-loss just in case. Who else is riding the semiconductor wave this month? 🚀