Why Gold and US Stocks Move in Opposite Directions
Since mid-June, the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, marked by the outbreak of the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly triggered market panic. However, after a short-lived “one-day” drop in risk assets, markets rebounded sharply, and both gold and oil prices surged before pulling back. We believe that the trajectory of major asset classes remains determined by trade policy. In the short term, a “seesaw” effect between risk assets and safe-haven assets has become apparent. U.S. stocks have rebounded, buoyed by three main factors: heightened expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, an easing of the Israel-Iran conflict, and increased stock buybacks by listed companies. Meanwhile, gold and oil have retreated from recent highs. In the medium term, the economic outlook is hig
Like a Rottweiler with a mighty bite, that once it grabs hold, it will not let go, that was exactly how US market have behaved for the past 2 days. From my viewpoint, traders are hell bent on getting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes to break through its record levels. This was boosted by a Fed’s proposal initiated by Michelle Bowman (who else !). On Wed 25 Jun 2025, the plan approved by a 5-2 Fed vote would reform the enhanced “supplementary leverage ratio" (SLR) where amount of capital banks provision will be directly tied to how large a role each firm plays in the global financial system. It forecast that the proposal could free up $185 billion for banks under its coverage. According to Morgan Stanley, Analysts, Betsy Graseck: SLR reform will be the first of many capital proposals to b
East Asia $CSOP LOW CARBON US$(LCU.SI)$WTD return: +1.39% Overall, Asian stocks gained WTD after an Israel-Iran ceasefire eased Middle East tensions. LCU WTD gains in USD were attributable to financials, IT, and communication services by sector, Japan, China and Australia by region, and Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Xiaomi and SK Hynix by individual firm. $CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$WTD return: +0.76% SQU gained WTD in USD and that was led by Delta Electronics, Grab and Infosys. Infosys gained after Jefferies rated Infosys a buy for its forward-thinking AI strategy and delivery excellence. China $CSOP DIV ETF S$(SHD.SI)$ WTD re
🚀 AMD vs Nvidia: High Potential or Proven Titan? 💥
AMD just threw down the gauntlet. Its new MI325 GPU accelerator is squarely aimed at Nvidia's H200 — a move that could reshape the AI chip race. With the AI boom still in full swing, investors are asking: is it time to bet on the underdog with upside, or stay safe with the market leader? 📊 Current Snapshot: AMD's MI325 expected to deliver 30% higher compute density Nvidia still holds over 80% of AI GPU market share Hedge funds adding exposure to both — AMD for growth, NVDA for stability 💡 Short-Term Outlook: $NVDA likely sees near-term consolidation after earnings rally $AMD might attract speculative inflows — watch for volume spike if it breaks $165 resistance AI chip ETFs ($SOXX, $SMH) could benefit from rising sector buzz 🌎 Macro Watch: FOMC speakers this week could stir volatility US Q
Weekly | Major Bullish News Arrives as HSI Nears Yearly Highs!
This week, Hong Kong stocks surged, with the $HSI(HSI)$ up 3.2%, closing in on its yearly highs!Key Market NewsOn June 23rd, US President Trump announced on his social media platform that Israel and Iran had agreed to a full ceasefire. This helped ease risk-off sentiment, causing oil and gold prices to fall. As inflation worries eased, global markets rebounded.On June 24th, during a hearing in the House Financial Services Committee, Jerome Powell stated that the Federal Reserve had enough room to stay neutral on interest rates for now. He also hinted that if inflation didn't rise as expected, the Fed might cut rates sooner.On Thursday, the Hong Kong government unveiled its “Digital Asset Development Policy 2.0” to turn the city into a global hub fo
Xiaomi's Meteoric Rise Post-SU7: Will YU7 Replicate the Surge?
SU7 was launched and Xiaomi soared more than 4 times! YU7 is expected to drive the stock up, but will the increase be that significant? After the launch of YU7, 289,000 units were pre-ordered within an hour. The price is indeed quite attractive. It seems that the pressure on other electric vehicle manufacturers has increased.Xiaomi SU7 was officially launched on March 28, 2024. At that time, the stock price of Xiaomi Group-W (01810) was around HK$14, and then it soared straight up to a peak of HK$59, with an increase of over 400% during this period.Xiaomi YU7 was launched on May 22, 2025. The stock price was at HK$53 at that time. After the launch, it fluctuated until it started to break through last week. Following yesterday's launch event, the stock price rose by 4%, reaching a new high.
Wall Street closed higher on Thursday (June 26), nudging the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq nearer to record closing highs as the Israel-Iran ceasefire continued to hold and a raft of economic indicators appeared to support the case for the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering borrowing costs this year.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 48,335,535 contracts was traded on Thursday, call ratio accounted for 62%.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $NVDA(NVDA)$; $TSLA(TSLA)$; $AAPL(AAPL)$; $AMD(AMD)$; $SMCI(SMCI)$; $COIN(COIN)$;
Bank Stocks Explode: 15% Gains in 10 Days Before Fed Cuts!
Bank Sector Trend Review: the Cycle Rises Again, Valuation Fixes Drive Collective UpsideSince June 2025, the U.S. banking sector has significantly outperformed the broader market, especially the shares of systemic banks (JPM, BAC, C, WFC) and investment banking duo (GS, MS) have recorded gains of 5%-15%, with $SPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE)$ and the large bank ETF $Invesco KBW Bank ETF(KBWB)$ rising about 11% and 13% respectively, strongly reflecting the warming market sentiment and the sector's valuation repair. KBWBrose about 11% and 13%, respectively, strongly reflecting the rebound in market sentiment and sector valuation repair.Key driversStrengthened expectations of spread widening:Although the Federal R
IF Replace Federal Reserve Chair any impact on the US market
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ A change in the Federal Reserve Chair, especially one that is perceived as politically motivated, could have a significant impact on the US market. Here's a breakdown of the potential effects: 1. Increased Market Volatility and Uncertainty Sudden Change: An early announcement of a replacement for Jerome Powell, whose term doesn't end until May 2026, would be an unusual move. This would create a "shadow chair" dynamic where the nominee's public comments could contradict the current Fed's policies, leading to confusion and conflicting signals for investors.
Could a deeper-than-expected GDP contraction (-0.5%) trigger a sell-off in the U.S. stock market?
The U.S. economy contracted more than expected in Q1, with final GDP revised to -0.5% (vs. -0.2% forecast). This sharp downgrade raises key concerns. Negative scenarios to watch: 🔻 Rising recession risk if Q2 GDP (to be released on July 25, 2025) also shows negative growth 💼 Potential for weaker corporate earnings, especially outside AI/tech sectors (Q2 earnings reports in July) ⚠️ Stagflation threat if inflation remains sticky (PCE report on June 28) while growth stalls 💣 Market is heavily concentrated in mega-cap tech, which may unwind quickly if sentiment shifts If upcoming data (PCE inflation, jobs report, Fed minutes) disappoints, the market could face a broad-based correction. Positive scenarios to watch: ✅ If inflation data (PCE) shows meaningful cooling, the Fed could pivot faster
📊 Coinbase ($COIN) Update 🔼 What's Boosting It? 1. Bitcoin Stability – $BTC is comfortably above $100K, bolstering sentiment for crypto equities like $COIN. 2. Rising Volume – Coinbase’s daily volume surged ~22% week-over-week, which suggests stronger fee revenue prospects. 3. Institutional Leverage – As a key custodian for major crypto ETFs (e.g., BlackRock), Coinbase benefits from increased crypto adoption. 4. Bullish Setup – Currently trading above its 50‑day MA (~$340), with a potential cup‑and‑handle pattern forming. A solid break above $360–365 could target $400 next. ⚠️ Risks Ahead Regulatory Pressure – Ongoing SEC scrutiny may keep a lid on upside. Crypto Correlation – A sudden drop in Bitcoin or Ethereum could drag COIN downward. Momentum Fatigue – After the current rebound, a nat
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ 🚗 Battle of the EV Titans: Xiaomi SU7 vs Tesla Model Y — Which Is the Smarter Pick at 250,000 RMB? ⚡️🔋 Xiaomi's highly anticipated debut SUV — the SU7 (YU7) — was officially unveiled at 7PM on 26 June, and it's already making waves across China's EV market! But here's the big question: if you had 250,000 RMB in your pocket today, would you go with the tech upstart Xiaomi or stick with the legacy EV king Tesla and its Model Y? 🤔 💥 What's New with the SU7 (YU7)? Xiaomi isn't just launching a car — it’s launching an ecosystem on wheels. The SU7 is expected to run deep integration with Xiaomi’s smart home and phone systems, potentially giving it a unique UX advantage in China’s hyper-connected lifestyle. Highlights inclu
📈 Nasdaq Hits 20,000 Again! Is This Just the Beginning — or Time to Lock in Gains? 🚀💰 The Nasdaq Composite has once again shattered the psychological barrier of 20,000 points, closing at 20,082.93 📊 — a testament to the continued strength in tech, AI, and growth sectors. But with July 4th looming and macro uncertainties ahead, the million-dollar question remains: Can this rally last? Or is it time to take some profits off the table? Several catalysts have propelled the Nasdaq upward in recent weeks. First, the unstoppable momentum of AI. Mega caps like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , and $Apple(AAPL)$ are riding the AI w
🚀 COIN Breakout Alert 😲 Can Coinbase Hit $400 or Is It Time to Say ByeBye? 💸 Coinbase ($Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ) just broke out to a new 52-week high, hitting $371.23, while its crypto counterpart Constellation surged over 9% to $52.13. The question on every investors mind: Is this just the beginning of another leg up, or a classic case of buy-the-rumour, sell-the-news? Let’s break this down. First, the surge in Coinbase's share price isn’t happening in isolation. It's riding a wave of growing optimism in the crypto ecosystem. Bitcoin has stabilized above $60,000, Ethereum is flirting with $4,000, and institutional adoption is gaining serious momentum. BlackRock, Fidelity, and other giants hav
🔥 Micron Beats Earnings 💥 But Is the Rally Already Priced In? What’s the Next Move for MU Traders? 📊 Micron Technology ($Micron Technology(MU)$ ) just delivered a blockbuster earnings report, clocking in $9.3 billion in Q3 FY2025 revenue, crushing analyst expectations of $8.87 billion and posting a 37% year-on-year growth from $6.81 billion. That’s a new record high 📈 — and a loud signal that the memory cycle is not just recovering, but roaring back. After-hours trading saw MU shares jump nearly 8%, a knee-jerk reaction to the beat. But then? Profit-taking kicked in, and the price cooled off. This kind of price action raises a big question for investors and traders alike: Is the good news already baked into the stock? 🤔 Lets zoom out. 📌 M
IPO Recap: Meet 2025’s Breakout Stars in U.S. Market
US IPO Market LandscapeIn the First Half of 2025, the US IPO market shows activity rebounds due to pending rate cuts, also, the divergence in cases widen.IPO activity has picked up significantly:By the end of June, over 100 companies had completed IPOs, with a strong concentration from March to June. This marks a notable recovery after the subdued IPO environment of 2022–2023, indicating that the capital markets are reopening.Fundraising and valuations are rebounding:Some standout names such as $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ and $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ raised over billions in single offerings. Their valuations surged, underscoring investor appetite for high-growth tech firms in AI and crypto sectors.Wide d
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 📉 Price Action & Demand/Supply Snapshot Current price: $213.63, up ~7.6% today off the intraday low near $194 . Demand zone holding: Buyers stepped in between $200–210, absorbing heavy selling and forming a strong base. Supply ceiling emerges: Sellers reappear near $230–240, where prior gap-fill and ARK reallocate liquidity remain strong. 🧩 Technical & Historical Context High-volume V-shaped recovery signals strong dip-buying pressure at current support. Double-top aligned around $299 still remains structurally relevant . Post-IPO patterns in 2020–21 suggest a 20–30% pullback followed by consolidation—CRCL has retraced ~27% from its peak. RSI reset from >80 to ~55–60 supports a neutral-to-bullish bia