Why treasury yileds hit records? Which sector may perform better?

Tiger_comments
2023-10-20

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to a 16-year high, crossing 5% for the first time since July 20, 2007, reaching as high as 5.029%.

Why do US treatury yields continue to hit new high?

1) Powell speech reiterates the Fed's goal of bringing inflation down to 2%.

My colleagues and I are committed to achieving a stance of policy that is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation sustainably down to 2% over time.

2) The latest auction of 30-year Treasury bonds revealed poor investor demand. The disparity between supply and demand triggers market concerns.

3) The US federal deficit of $1.7 trillion for the 2023 fy led to increased interest costs for the government.

Will the market dip further with higher US treasury yields?

Will 2023 repeat what happened in 2007, 1987 and 1929?

r/wallstreetbets - 36yrs ago Dow Jones fell 22% in a day.

Which sector may perform better when US treasury yields climb up?

data and chart from xtb

Will market dip further with higher US treasury yields?

Do you agree with this chart?

Will the market dip further with higher US treasury yields?

Leave your comments and repost to win tiger coins!

# Time to buy treasury as Ackman close short position?

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icycrystal
·2023-10-20
@GoodLife99 @rL @Zarkness @xXxZealandxXx @Universe宇宙 @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @HelenJanet
Leave your comments and repost to win tiger coins [smile] [smile] [smile]
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- Universe宇宙:
  [ShakeHands]
  2023-10-21
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- xXxZealandxXx:
  🌺🐱
  2023-10-21
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- Shyon:
  Thanks for tag hehe
  2023-10-20
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koolgal
·2023-10-20
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🌟🌟🌟美國國債收益率上升對股市來說是個壞消息，因爲這意味着公司的信貸成本上升，尤其是通過貸款來發展公司的成長型股票。這影響了他們的收益，由於收益較低，投資者更喜歡將資金投資於其他避險資產，如黃金和美國元。
儘管如此，市場是週期性波動的。當股票下跌時，是時候部署戰爭資金，去尋寶了，特別是對宏偉的7喜歡$蘋果(AAPL)$ $微軟(MSFT)$ $亞馬遜(AMZN)$ $英偉達(NVDA)$
和$特斯拉(TSLA)$
市場的波動性是我們爲股票的長期非凡回報所付出的代價。
@Tiger_comments
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- koolgalReplying toChrisColeman:
  做最壞的打算，抱最好的希望🙏🙏🙏
  2023-10-21
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- koolgalReplying tosnixxx:
  這是一種可能性。
  2023-10-21
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- koolgalReplying tosnixxx:
  你是說惠譽的評級？
  2023-10-21
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icycrystal
·2023-10-20
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I believe the market will dip further as most people will be channelling their [USD] [USD] [USD] to yields which give a better return. needless to say, that's what i and most people tend to do [Grin] [Grin] [Grin] of course, if have more [USD] [USD] [USD] then can go "shopping" for good stocks at good price [Happy] [Happy] [Happy]
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- koolgal:
  Thanks for sharing your insights 😍😍😍
  2023-10-20
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Universe宇宙
·2023-10-21
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@TigerGPT 美国哪些股票板块在2007年、1987年和1929年表现最好？此外，新加坡经济和股票市场在2007年、1987年和1929年的表现如何？请在至少6个段落中提供您的答案，并从互联网上获取数据和信息，并列出尽可能多的参考资料。谢谢你我的朋友。
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- Universe宇宙Replying toAqa:
  [Chuckle]
  2023-10-23
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- Universe宇宙Replying toAqa:
  [笑]
  2023-10-23
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- Aqa:
  感谢‘omg’给我的自拍！
  2023-10-22
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Shyon
·2023-10-20
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Personally I think the history will repeat, meaning to say Energy and Financial sector may perform better when US treasury yields climb up. So if you think treasury yield will continue to trend higher, is time to relook into the stock in these sectors. How do you think? @GoodLife99 @Aqa @b1uesky @icycrystal @Universe宇宙 @rL @koolgal
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- Universe宇宙:
  [ShakeHands]
  2023-10-21
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MHh
·2023-10-20
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是的，預計市場將進一步下跌。但如果美聯儲能夠在2024年底或2025年降息，這也可能是一個短期問題。希望這是膝跳反應[臉掌]
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- HelenJanet:
  我們需要非常非常耐心地等待股價再次上漲。[舒適][舒適]
  2023-10-21
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AliceSam
·2023-10-21
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@TigerGPT 美国联邦赤字1.7万亿美元二零二三财年导致政府的利息成本, 这个对股票下跌有影响吗？
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- TigerAI:
  根据我查找到的相关信息，美国国债收益率创下历史新高可能是由于市场对通胀预期上升的担忧，以及美国联邦赤字增加导致债券供应增加的影响。目前，金融、能源和原材料等行业可能表现更好，因为这些行业通常在通胀上升时表现较好。至于美国联邦赤字1.7万亿美元二零二三财年导致政府的利息成本，可能会导致政府债务负担增加，但对股票下跌的影响不确定。
  相关参考文章：
  2023财年联邦赤字升至1.7万亿主要是这一税收少了-财经-美国中文网
  [朝闻天下]美国2023年财政赤字近1.7万亿美元](https://tv.cctv.com/2023/10/21/VIDE4UHG1KbolEENp6RMHbCu231021.shtml)
  2023财年联邦赤字升至1.7万亿主要是这一税收少了-财经-美国中文网
  2023-10-21
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Tiger_comments
·2023-10-30
@Gilar3101
@AliceSam
@BenedictMill
@highhand
@Success88
@HelenJanet
@JL28168
@MasterStonker
@TimothyX
@icycrystal
@MHh
@Shyon
@Aqa
@Universe宇宙
@TigerGPT
@RXU
@koolgal
Thank you for commenting on my post. Your coins have been sent to your account~ Don't forget to check your tiger coins💖
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TimothyX
·2023-10-23
爲什麼美國收益率持續創新高？

（1）鮑威爾演講重申美聯儲將通貨膨脹率降至2%的目標。

我和我的同事們致力於實現一種足夠嚴格的政策立場，以便隨着時間的推移將通脹率可持續地降至2%。
2）最近一次30年期美國國債拍賣顯示投資者需求低迷。這個供求差距引發市場擔憂。

3）美國聯邦赤字1.7萬億美元二零二三財年導致政府的利息成本。
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Aqa
·2023-10-23
Higher US treasury yields means higher costs of borrowing. Businesses and investors borrows less and spend less, market will dip further. Growth stocks that need loans to grow business suffer the most. Gold is a more preferred asset as compared to stocks. Cash (dollars) is king! By the way, this is good time for DCA and catch the good stocks at bargain prices.
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TimothyX
·2023-10-22
鮑威爾演講重申美聯儲將通貨膨脹率降至2%的目標。

我和我的同事們致力於實現一種足夠嚴格的政策立場，以便隨着時間的推移將通脹率可持續地降至2%。
2）最近一次30年期美國國債拍賣顯示投資者需求低迷。這個供求差距引發市場擔憂。

3）美國聯邦赤字1.7萬億美元二零二三財年導致政府的利息成本。
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Shyon
·2023-10-22
Another reason that treasury yield goes higher is due to the latest auction of 30-year Treasury bonds revealed poor investor demand. The disparity between supply and demand triggers market concerns.
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RXU
·2023-10-22
yes, US market will dip if yield continues to climb 🪜 When Treasury yields climbs higher, it becomes more expensive for businesses to borrow money. This in turn leads to reduced business investments, potentially affecting corporate earnings. This is particularly bad news for tech stocks which are valued based on their future expected cash flows.

keep a keen eyes on the market, select quality stock and DCA in
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Universe宇宙
·2023-10-21
@TigerGPT Is the US treasury yield in 2023 the highest in the past 100 years? What is the highest treasury yield in the past 100 years?
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- TigerAI:
  Based on the information I found, the highest treasury yield in the past 100 years was in 1981, when the 10-year Treasury yield reached 15.84%. Currently, treasury yields are hitting records due to concerns about inflation and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. When treasury yields climb up, sectors that may perform better include financials, energy, and materials. It is uncertain whether the market will dip further with higher US treasury yields, as it depends on various factors such as economic growth and corporate earnings. As for the question of whether 2023 will repeat what happened in 2007, 1987, and 1929, it is difficult to predict as each situation is unique and influenced by different factors. Finally, I cannot provide an opinion on the chart without further context.
  Reference articles：
  Understanding the Surge in U.S. 30 Years Bond Yields
  Stocks Slip after 10-Year Treasury Yield Crosses 5% for the First Time since 2007
  Pre-Bell｜Futures Fall as Treasury Yields Hover near Multi-Year Highs; One Pharmaceutical Company Soared 66%
  Why treasury yileds hit records? Which sector may perform better?
  Yields extend gains, US10Y powers past 4.9% mark to hit highest since mid-2007
  10-, 30-year Treasury yields end at fresh highs since 2007, 2011
  2023-10-21
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MHh
·2023-10-20
@DiAngel @Success88 @AliceSam @Fenger1188 @Kaixiang @SR050321 @SPOT_ON @rL @Universe宇宙 @HelenJanet come join
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- Universe宇宙:
  [ShakeHands]
  2023-10-21
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icycrystal
·2023-10-20
@老虎基準10年期美國國債收益率上升到a16年新高首次突破5%自從2007年7月20日，高達5.029%。隨着美國國債收益率的上升，市場會進一步下跌嗎？
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Shyon
·2023-10-22
Powell speech reiterates the Fed's goal of bringing inflation down to 2% causes US treasury yield to trend higher recently.
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Universe宇宙
·2023-10-21
@TigerGPT Tell me more about the US economy and stock market in the year 2007, 1987 and 1929.
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- TigerAI:
  Based on the information I found, here are the answers to your questions:
  In the years 2007, 1987, and 1929, the US economy and stock market experienced significant events. In 2007, the US economy faced the subprime mortgage crisis, which led to a global financial crisis. In 1987, the stock market experienced a major crash known as "Black Monday," where the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by over 22% in a single day. In 1929, the US stock market crash marked the beginning of the Great Depression.
  
  Treasury yields are hitting records due to various factors. One reason is the expectation of higher inflation, which leads to higher interest rates. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and market sentiment can also impact Treasury yields.
  
  It is difficult to predict which sector may perform better as it depends on various factors such as economic conditions, market trends, and company-specific factors. Different sectors may perform differently based on these factors.
  
  Higher US Treasury yields can potentially lead to a dip in the stock market. When yields rise, it increases borrowing costs for companies and can impact their profitability. Higher yields can also make bonds more attractive compared to stocks, leading to a shift in investor preferences.
  
  Without the specific chart mentioned in the question, I cannot provide an opinion on it.
  
  Reference articles:
  Stock Market Today: Stocks Sink With Big Tech Earnings on Deck
  Understanding the Surge in U.S. 30 Years Bond Yields
  Stocks Slip after 10-Year Treasury Yield Crosses 5% for the First Time since 2007
  Why treasury yields hit records? Which sector may perform better?
  Treasury yields volatile after hitting highest level since 2007
  10-, 30-year Treasury yields end at fresh highs since 2007, 2011
  2023-10-21
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TheStrategist
·2023-10-20
We all know that banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms, and money managers will benefit the most from high treasury yields.
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JL28168
·2023-10-22
war is ongoing..the market sure continue affected ..those resources stock will perform like petrol, gold, foods
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