$Li Auto(LI)$$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 🎯🚙🚀 Li Auto Dominates the EV Race: August Delivery Data and Market Movers! 🚀🚙🎯 Kia ora Tiger traders! Hold onto your steering wheels because the August delivery data is in, and it's clear that Li Auto is cruising ahead of the competition! From consistent delivery numbers to innovative strides in autonomous driving, Li Auto is making waves in the EV market. Let’s delve into why Li Auto stands out as the winner in this electrifying race. ⚡️🔋 📊 August 2024 Delivery Data: Li Auto Takes the Lead - Li Auto 🚙 Delivered 48,122 vehicles in August 2024 MoM: 📉 Down 5.64% YoY: 📈 Up 37.8% 🌟✨ Highlight: With these imp
$Hilton(HLT)$$Marriott(MAR)$$Hyatt(H)$$Host(HST)$$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ 🛎️ 🏨🏩🛎️ Hotel Havoc on Labor Day: What’s the Impact? 🛎️ 🏨🏩 🛎️ Kia ora Tiger traders! 🦁 Labor Day weekend wasn’t just busy for travelers but also for thousands of hotel workers who decided to strike at some of the biggest hotel chains across the US, including Hilton, Hyatt, Marriott, and Omni properties. This strike, sparked by stalled contract negotiations, is shaking up the hospitality industry and could ripple through the stock market! 🧳 🔑 Key Stocks to Watch: 1. Marriott International Inc. (MAR):
Investment Reflection: Strategic Rollover of CTRA Put Option
Overview On August 23, 2024, I initiated an options strategy by selling a put option contract on Coterra Energy $Coterra Energy Inc.(CTRA)$ with a strike price of USD 23, set to mature on September 20, 2024. I collected an option premium of USD 17 per contract at the time, basing my investment thesis on the strong fundamentals of Coterra Energy and the potential for an increase in U.S. natural gas prices. Initial Strategy and Rationale The decision to sell the put option was driven by my confidence in Coterra Energy as a blue-chip natural gas producer with a robust balance sheet and significant low-cost reserves. The company's profitability even at lower natural gas prices ($2.00 to $2.50) indicated that it was well-positioned to benef
Gold Prices Under Pressure Amid Stronger Dollar - What’s Ahead for September 2024?
Overview: Gold prices $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ faced a challenging end to August 2024, retreating by 1% as a stronger U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on the market. Despite this recent dip, gold is still on track to post gains for the month, reflecting a 2% increase overall, spurred by ongoing market speculation around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. This report delves into the key factors influencing gold's recent movements and offers insights into what might lie ahead for the precious metal as we move into September. Recent Gold Movements Dollar Strength and Treasury Yields Impact: On Friday, spot gold declined by 0.9% to $2,497.53 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures fell 1.3% to $2,527.60 p
$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$ has experienced a 4 consecutive weeks down moves, which has exceeded its one standard deviation price runs. In order to break the sequence, it is possible that the price will move higher. Standard deviation (SD) is a statistical measure that indicates how much a stock's price typically deviates from its average price. A price movement exceeding one, two or more SD suggests a more significant deviation than usual, potentially signaling a trend change or overbought/oversold territory. $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ $Intel(INTC)$ share price have
Value vs. Growth: Top ETFs to Ride Berkshire Hathaway and Nvidia’s Market Dominance
In the current market environment, the battle between value and growth investment strategies is becoming increasingly apparent. $Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)$ represents the archetype of value investing, while $Nvidia (NVDA)$ stands as a paragon of high-growth tech stocks. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ recently became the first U.S. company outside the tech sector to reach a market capitalization of $1 trillion, further solidifying its leadership in value investing. To capture the market performance of these two companies, investors can consider ETFs where these companies hold significant weight. Below are the top three ETFs with the highest allocation to
$ocbc bank(O39.SI)$ https://sporeshare.blogspot.com/2024/08/ocbc-bank-chart-wise-bearish-mode-i.html Ocbc Bank - Chart wise, Bearish mode! I think the worst chart patterns as compared to the other 2 local banks! I think she may go down to test 14.20. Breaking down of 14.00, we may see her drifting lower towards 13.74. I think if September interest rate cut, we may see further price weakness ! Pls dyodd.
TBI's Thoughts [1]: CVNA... Signalling a Pullback?
Hi everyone! I've decided to do a little rebranding here, so I've renamed the newsletter - it's now TBI's Thoughts! In the first issue of this newsletter, I'll be updating my TA on a formerly ridiculed company that was trading as low as $3 just a few years ago: Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA) The weekly chart shows CVNA in a recovery pattern, with a rounding bottom pattern in the works. It has been trading in an ascending channel since 2023 with a series of higher highs and higher lows. Interestingly enough, CVNA also has the RSI triangle pattern that we previously saw on SPY before it broke down into channel support. Notice the higher lows on RSI (in green) as well as the 4-legged bearish divergence (in red). Based on what SPY and CVNA (in 2021) have done previously, this favours bears. On the d
Intel stock jumped 9% on Friday on reports that the company might sell or spin off its foundry business
I remain pessimistic about Intel. Investing in or trading Intel simply isn't worth the risk. Intel’s Foundry segment has a staggering operating margin of -65.5%, meaning that for every $10,000 wafer sold, Intel incurs a loss of $6,550. In contrast, TSMC boasts an impressive operating margin of 42.55%. Therefore, I doubt any company would be interested in acquiring a foundry business with a -65.5% operating margin, nor do I believe investors would want to invest in Intel to become future shareholders of a spun-off foundry company that is deep in losses. Investors should favor TSMC, Broadcom, Nvidia, ARM, ASML, and AMD instead.
Zscaler (ZS) Cloud SD-WAN Primary Revenue Contributor To Watch
$Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ is scheduled to report its quarterly result on 03 Sep 2024 for the period ending 31 July 2024 after the market close. Zscaler is expected to show a rise in quarterly revenue of 24.8% increase in revenue to $567.933 million from $455.01 million a year ago. This is higher than the figure provided in Zscaler’s guidance on 30 May 2024 for the period ended 31 July where revenue was between 565.00 million and 567.00 million. The consensus EPS forecast was also higher at 71 cents per share than the EPS guidance on 30 May 2024 which was between 0.69 and 0.70. Sustained Robust Demand For Zscaler Security and Networking Solutions Expected Zscaler’s fourth-quarter results are expected to reflect the sustained robust demand for its security a
August has been a month of mixed fortunes for the market, and my trading strategies have reflected this volatility. Recently, I shared my views on $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ and $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$. I also took options trades for these 2 companies. Let's delve into the performance of my trades on PDD and DELL, along with insights for future opportunities. PDD Daily Chart My stance of a short term bounce on PDD was validated by a short-term price increase following the huge drop after earnings report. However, I chose to take profits as the implied volatility (IV) began to decline, indicating a potential loss of momentum. The decision to exit at a profit was a calculated move to secure gains and avo
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Pre-earnings trade idea on: $Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ Earnings date: Tuesday, Sept 3rd after market closeExpected move: 10%Pre-Earnings Trade Idea:- Sell-to-open a cash-secured put, Sept 6 expiration, 160 strike [also got the 165p already in play, so am adding to the position by layering in]- Could turn this trade into a strangle and sell the 270 call strike, but naked calls are very risky, so might want to do a spread on it to hedge/reduce risk exposure- Speaking of spreads, also have a diagonal calendar debit spread in play [170 long strike and 210 short strike ... might roll the short strike to 215, Sept 20 expiration]Points to Consider:- Expected move places downside to 177 and ups
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading skills with you!1.Earnings vs Valuation: $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ 2.ROCE is a metric every investor should know.Here's a simplified overview:3.Learn How The 3 Financial Statements Link!4.Every investor should study this visual thoroughly:5.P/E ratios at previous market bottoms:6.How to measure a moat, by Michael Mauboussin:7.Warren Buffett hates EBITDA. But he LOVES EBT.What's the difference?Follow me to learn more about analysis!!https://x.com/BrianFeroldi
4.2% Dividend YieldTrading at substantial discount to our $53 per share estimate of asset value.Timberland is good inflation hedge.Share repurchases demonstrate management’s belief in the underlying asset values.Strong real estate performance has offset the weak performance in the wood products segment.Lumber market appears to have bottomed out with expectations of a recovery in the spring.Investment Thesis $Potlatch(PCH)$ is a lumber REIT with 2.2 million acres of timberland and 7 sawmills, concentrated largely in the Pacific Northwest and Deep South.Currently, the lumber market is depressed by oversupply and unseasonably low construction demand. This has driven PotlatchDeltic’s price down by 11% over the trailing twelve months, now trading at a d
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ should see further upside to the 5660-5675 range for a B-Wave of a bearish flat correction. However, once price reaches that zone a sharp reversal to the blue 4HR FVG at 5532 is expected. If so, that should be bought to take $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2409(ESmain)$ to new ATHs -POTENTIALLY FOR THE FINAL LEG UP OF THE ULTIMATE RALLY.ImageImageEpic day on Friday as $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2409(ESmain)$ produced a 3-wave move into a bullish 15min FVG ✅We expected a rally targeting at least 5628 with upside to cross the 5669 high 🎯ES then blasted higher 50 points before close🚀ImageImageImageImagehttps://x.com/TriggerTrades/status/182988
Clouded Judgement - Incrementalism vs Transformative Leaps
Over the last 5-10 years, software markets have become increasingly crowded. Simultaneously, venture markets have expanded dramatically, contributing to this overcrowding. In a world without venture capital (or other sources of external financing for startups), each company would have to grow solely based on the merits of their product and sales. Growth would be slower, but market share would likely be more concentrated among leading companies (though one could also argue for more fragmentation among a smaller number of players). It would be harder for inferior companies to compete. On the flip side, this might lead to slower innovation cycles as “incumbents” face less pressure from a smaller number of challengers.In a world where venture markets are flush with cash, it’s common for five o
When there is a large amount of inflows to U.S. Treasuries, several effects can occur:1. Yield Decrease: As prices rise, the yield (interest rates) on those bonds tends to fall. This is because the yield is inversely related to price; when investors pay more for a bond, the return on investment (yield) decreases.2. Lower Borrowing Costs: As Treasury yields fall, the government can borrow at lower interest rates. This can have broader implications for other interest rates in the economy, including those for mortgages, loans, and corporate bonds.3. Impact on the Economy: Lower interest rates can stimulate economic activity by making borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, potentially leading to increased spending and investment.4. Safe Haven Effect: Large inflows often indicate that
The stock market had a sideways week despite one of the biggest earnings reports of the year. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reported another great quarter but didn’t give much of an indication of whether or not AI spending is accelerating faster than expected or slowing faster than expected. For once, analysts seem to have their hands around how fast the company is going to grow and that has brought some comfort to the market.Compounding Is the Key to InvestingIf there's one concept all investors need to understand it’s compounding. Over time, generating a reasonable rate of return year after year is the best way to not only build wealth but also beat the market.Two of the Asymmetric Frameworks are leaning into the time advantage we have over institutional