Market Crashes Across the Board: Would You Buy the Dip?
This week, the U.S. stock market has been nothing short of gruesome—a literal bloodbath and a frantic stampede.
The Fear & Greed Index has now officially retreated into "Fear" territory.
After a massive run-up, capital is fleeing the sector. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ plunged 15.95%, $Western Digital(WDC)$ dropped 7%, and $Micron Technology(MU)$ fell over 9%.
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ fell over 3%, marking a four-day losing streak with a cumulative loss of nearly 10%. AppLovin tanked over 16%, leading a broader retreat in AI application software.
$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ slid below $70,000, down over 6% intraday. Polymarket shows an 82% probability of BTC falling below $65,000 this year, with odds of a drop under $55,000 rising to nearly 60%.
Semiconductors & AI: Earnings Convergence of Bad News
The tech sector is dragging the entire market down as the AI hype meets a harsh reality check:
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$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ : Issued Q1 revenue guidance of $9.8 billion, missing the optimistic whisper numbers of $100B+. The stock plummeted 17.3%, its largest single-day drop since 2017, paralyzing the entire sector.
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$Alphabet(GOOG)$ : Market jitters intensified following Wednesday’s disclosure of its capital expenditure plans. The company expects capex to reach a staggering $175B–$185B this year, nearly doubling previous levels.
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$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ : The world’s largest smartphone processor maker gave a weak forecast for the current quarter, fueling fears that rising memory chip prices are further suppressing smartphone demand. Shares fell nearly 10%.
Precious Metals: The Rollercoaster Continues
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$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ : Slumped again, briefly losing the $4,800 mark and erasing the gains from Tuesday (+6.13%) and Wednesday (+0.36%).
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$XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$: Followed suit with a 16% crash, wiping out its mid-week rally. This volatility stems from last Friday’s carnage where Gold fell 9% and Silver imploded by 26%.
The Silver Lining: Consumer Strength
While tech burns, "Main Street" remains resilient. Walmart rose 2%, pushing its market cap past $1 trillion, and PepsiCo climbed 4% on strong earnings. Capital is clearly rotating out of high-growth tech and into defensive sectors.
Share Your Thoughts!
How do you view the sell-off?
A️. The AI & Semi "Valuation Purge": This is a healthy reset; opportunities are brewing.
B. A Structural Trend Reversal: It’s the start of a longer decline; it is far too early to buy the dip.
C️. Defensive Pivot: Avoid tech entirely; stick to Consumer Staples and Defensive sectors.
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也就是说，这并不是一个盲目逢低买入的环境。收入差距正在扩大，资本密集度的上升——尤其是在人工智能基础设施方面——已成为一个真正的担忧。选择性现在变得更加重要，资产负债表实力、现金流和货币化可见性将真正的赢家与炒作区分开来。
总的来说，我倾向于️⃣：机会正在形成的健康重置，但仅限于耐心资本。在增加敞口之前，我正在等待更明确的企稳迹象和盈利确认。尽管痛苦，但这种洗牌往往会为下一步可持续发展奠定基础。
@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub
AI & Semiconductors have been priced for perfection for months. Software multiples stretched. Anything with AI automation got a premium.
Anthropic drops new legal work flow automation tools. Suddenly the market realises that AI isn't just enabling software. It is competing with it. That's enough to trigger a sentiment shock, not a structural trend reversal.
This is what a healthy reset looks like: Excess froth gets burnt off. Momentum traders exit. Funds rebalance. Strong companies get cheaper. Weak companies get exposed.
Beneath the chaos, opportunities are quietly starting to brew.
Why not B: Structural Trend Reversal? We are not seeing earnings collapsing. Demand isn't evaporating. Cloud, Cybersecurity & enterprise spend remain intact.
Why not C: Defensive Pivot. Tech is still the engine of global growth.
@Tiger_comments
Seen as a healthy reset, the recent pullback is viewed as a cooling of valuations, offering a rare entry point into the backbone of the AI economy, rather than signaling a collapse of the technology itself
The AI & Semi "Valuation Purge" : This is a healthy reset; the recent pullback is viewed as a correction, and opportunities are brewing for long-term investors in AI, machine learning, and semiconductors
A Structural Trend Reversal : It’s the start of a longer decline; rising interest rates and economic slowdowns signal a prolonged bear market, indicating that it is far too early to buy the dip in overvalued sectors
Defensive Pivot : Avoid tech entirely; focus on recession-proof industries like healthcare and utilities, stick to consumer staples and defensive sectors, which offer stability and resilience amid economic uncertainty
The market consensus is divided between optimism, caution, and defensiveness, with the decision to "buy the dip" depending on individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and outlook on broader economic and sector-specific factors
但是在下跌的路上买一点还是不错的。
随着一切看起来更糟，我不明白为什么黄金和白银一直在下滑，所以我认为这是暂时的。
I won’t pivot into defensive and consumer staples yet. Typically, the growth from these sectors are limited. They are steady companies which grow slowly and sometimes offer good dividends but I don’t invest in the US stocks for these. Given my investment horizon, i definitely prefer to put my money into stocks with high growth potential, so I would be looking to add at good prices.
The prevailing market sentiment suggests that the current downturn is best viewed as Option A.
✅ A. The AI & Semi Valuation Purge
This is widely regarded as a healthy reset rather than a permanent collapse. While high-profile AI stocks recently experienced significant "wipeouts" due to rising capital expenditure and missed revenue forecasts, analysts view this as an opportunity for the market to broaden and for high-quality stocks to rebound as AI adoption continues.
$英偉達(NVDA)$跌超3%，連跌四日，累計跌幅近10%。AppLovin下跌超過16%，導致人工智能應用軟件出現更廣泛的下跌。
$英伟达(NVDA)$跌超3%，连跌四日，累计跌幅近10%。AppLovin下跌超过16%，导致人工智能应用软件出现更广泛的下跌。
將引發自我強化的連鎖反應
fans of crypto play tech stocks, I suppose
A C
我識得有人。玩tesla乜嘢風浪都唔放最後贏好多
如果有呢種資金實力，可以繼續生活嘅。 又唔影響睡眠咁都可以選擇唔理佢。