To The Moon

$160 for $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ thanks @MHh @icycrystal @Tiger_Earnings

Could be the way to go

Could be the way to go

BRICS needs to establish a bitcoin strategic reserve.   All confiscated bitcoin could go into the reserve, and be used to back the brics unit.

The headline sounds powerful, but the market impact depends less on the number itself and more on credibility, pacing, and macro liquidity. --- 1. Would sovereign accumulation tighten supply? Yes, structurally, but only if execution is real and gradual. Bitcoin’s effective float is already smaller than headline circulating supply because: long-term holders rarely sell, lost coins reduce liquidity, ETF custody locks supply off exchanges. If a sovereign entity accumulates steadily over years, it removes marginal supply from the tradable market, which can: compress available float, increase price sensitivity to demand shocks, reinforce the “reserve asset” narrative. However, markets price actual buying, not proposals. Until purchases begin, the effect is mostly psychological. --- 2. Marginal

$Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$  it's can't go down forever. There's too much money in the world 

Pounced on $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ eye watering rally. Sold $CONL 20260213 9.0 CALL$ & allow it to expire worthless. Aching! 

1. Would sovereign accumulation tighten supply? Yes, if implemented, steady government buying would reduce liquid float. Bitcoin’s true tradable supply is already constrained by long-term holders and lost coins. A multi-year accumulation programme would act like a structural buyer, similar to central-bank gold purchases, gradually absorbing sell-side liquidity and increasing scarcity. The effect would be slow but cumulative rather than immediate. 2. Marginal vs ETF flows and macro cycles? In the near term, still marginal. ETF inflows/outflows and global liquidity conditions dominate price discovery because they move capital at institutional scale within weeks, not years. Rate expectations, USD strength, and risk appetite remain the primary drivers. A sovereign plan changes narrative, but E

under certain levels e.g. below bookvalue, keep on buying

Brazil's Congress just unleashed a crypto earthquake with its proposal for a strategic Bitcoin reserve aiming to hoard 1 million BTC over five years – that's roughly 5% of total circulating supply at current levels, a figure that's got traders salivating over potential supply squeezes and reduced float. 😤 Bitcoin bounced over 5% on the news, climbing from $82K lows to test $86K resistance, but the rally's sustainability hangs in the balance amid political wrangling, fiscal roadblocks, and execution nightmares like sourcing coins without spiking prices. Emerging markets add nitro, with Latin America's adoption surge pulling 10% more demand as nations like El Salvador's BTC stash grows 15% yearly. But macro risk cycles from Fed pauses and tariff teases crimp global flows 5%, raising question

$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$   $S&P 500(.SPX)$   2026 on Q1 this month, bitcoin get lower price 60k in line position but enough or not for new 52 weeks low ? Bitcoin have gap point 60k from 126k on oct 2025, this is makes point from global issue in fear and greed ratio to everybody take action for buy in time. However bitcoin still makes settlemen in market cap and finder spot from etf performance, bitcoin until today not breakout for cycle time frame to lower in traditional event. ■ faster backflip 14 day, bitcoin can do that from last years 2025, this momentum for everyone to get point. ■ bitcoin impact or flatter on rally, march 18 and april 29 ■ bullish double tab co

Supply tightening and liquid float decrease will be the first outcomes. Steady sovereign accumulation on this scale would likely exert a structural tightening effect on the market with significantly reduced liquid float, the logically expected price elasticity as and when there are demand shocks. Both these can lead to a market multiplier i.e. a "reflexive" effect where every $1 of net inflow can increase Bitcoin's market cap by $3.70 in bull markets, as institutional buyers typically hold with higher conviction than retail - any good macroeconomics student can explain this. Many points to note wouos be a fragile sentiment, maintaining support levels: & being mindful of structural shifts. 

The proposed Brazilian plan to accumulate 1 million BTC over five years, representing approximately 5% of the total circulating Bitcoin, has indeed sparked a notable rebound in the cryptocurrency's price, with a 5% increase. To assess the sustainability of this bounce, let's break down the potential implications and factors at play. Sovereign Accumulation Impact: If Brazil were to successfully accumulate 1 million BTC, it would indeed reduce the float and tighten supply. This reduction in available Bitcoin for trading could potentially drive up demand and, consequently, the price. However, the actual impact would depend on how the accumulation is executed, whether it's through direct market purchases or other means, and how it's perceived by the market. Comparison with ETF Flows and Macro

Think 5% bounce may not be sustainable in current high volatility market.

Your question goes directly to the core of what determines Bitcoin’s medium-term price formation: who controls marginal supply. The Brazil proposal is symbolically powerful, but its real impact depends on scale, execution, and how it interacts with existing institutional demand channels. Let us separate signal from narrative. --- 1. What the Brazil proposal actually changes Recent reports indicate Brazilian lawmakers are proposing a strategic sovereign Bitcoin reserve targeting up to 1 million BTC accumulated over five years.  At face value, that sounds enormous: Total BTC supply cap: 21 million Circulating supply: ~19.6 million 1 million BTC ≈ 5% of circulating supply On headlines alone, this suggests a major supply shock. However, markets do not price headline totals. They price mar

By Tiger RearchCoinbase Global, Inc. (COIN, HOLD) - 4Q25: Everything Exchange Progress Continues as Near-Term Crypto Headwinds Emerge; Maintain HOLD but Decrease PT to $170 Coinbase reported 4Q25 net revenue of $1.71B (3%/2% below Tiger/Street), down 5% sequentially, with transaction revenue of $983M, down 6% Q/Q. While trading volumes softened modestly during the quarter, the more notable dynamic was pressure on retail monetization.Consumer transaction revenue declined 13% Q/Q compared to a 6% decline in consumer spot trading volume, reflecting mix shift toward Advanced trading and higher Coinbase One penetration.Adjusted EBITDA was $566M in 4Q (24%/15% below Tiger/Street) versus $801M in 3Q. Subscription and services revenue declined only 3% Q/Q to $727M, supported by record USDC ba

Coinbase Is Down 60%+ Since July. What Its Chart Says Ahead of Earnings. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$   is heading into earnings this week at a time when the crypto firm's stock has fallen more than 60% from its July all-time high, has lost some 50% in three months and recently fell for 13 consecutive sessions. Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis tell us about this stock. Coinbase's Fundamental Analysis COIN is set to release Q4 results after the bell on Thursday, but its stock has been falling as Bitcoin has been falling. ( $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ is down some 45% from its October record highs.) The Street is looking for the company to report $0.66 in Q4 earnings per share on about $1.85 billion

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$Strategy(MSTR)$  ☹️

138.2

By Tiger RearchCoinbase Global, Inc. (COIN, HOLD) - 4Q25: Everything Exchange Progress Continues as Near-Term Crypto Headwinds Emerge; Maintain HOLD but Decrease PT to $170 Coinbase reported 4Q25 net revenue of $1.71B (3%/2% below Tiger/Street), down 5% sequentially, with transaction revenue of $983M, down 6% Q/Q. While trading volumes softened modestly during the quarter, the more notable dynamic was pressure on retail monetization.Consumer transaction revenue declined 13% Q/Q compared to a 6% decline in consumer spot trading volume, reflecting mix shift toward Advanced trading and higher Coinbase One penetration.Adjusted EBITDA was $566M in 4Q (24%/15% below Tiger/Street) versus $801M in 3Q. Subscription and services revenue declined only 3% Q/Q to $727M, supported by record USDC ba

Good evening, everyone.$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$ $1-Ounce Gold - main 2604(1OZmain)$ I’ve compiled the key points from the February 5 session into a ready-to-read transcript, so those who missed the live broadcast can easily catch up and review. $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $E-mini Silver - main 2603(QImain)$ $Silver - Mar 2026(SI2603)$ $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2

The market’s focus is gradually shifting from gold and silver to U.S. equities, but we want to remind everyone that around the coming Spring Festival period, U.S. equities are actually the asset most in need of bearish “protection.” After a sharp sell-off, the U.S. stock market has recently seen a modest rebound, which is technically normal. However, I would not take this small rebound as evidence that Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, and U.S. equities have returned to a sustained upward trend. On the contrary, I prefer to interpret it this way: the volatility cycle in U.S. equities most likely has not finished, and this rebound looks more like a “covering” move within volatility rather than a signal that a trend has been confirmed. First signal: the DXY The first signal that U.S. equities may

Brazil's Congress just unleashed a crypto earthquake with its proposal for a strategic Bitcoin reserve aiming to hoard 1 million BTC over five years – that's roughly 5% of total circulating supply at current levels, a figure that's got traders salivating over potential supply squeezes and reduced float. 😤 Bitcoin bounced over 5% on the news, climbing from $82K lows to test $86K resistance, but the rally's sustainability hangs in the balance amid political wrangling, fiscal roadblocks, and execution nightmares like sourcing coins without spiking prices. Emerging markets add nitro, with Latin America's adoption surge pulling 10% more demand as nations like El Salvador's BTC stash grows 15% yearly. But macro risk cycles from Fed pauses and tariff teases crimp global flows 5%, raising question

This week, the U.S. stock market has been nothing short of gruesome—a literal bloodbath and a frantic stampede. The Fear & Greed Index has now officially retreated into "Fear" territory. After a massive run-up, capital is fleeing the sector. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ plunged 15.95%, $Western Digital(WDC)$ dropped 7%, and $Micron Technology(MU)$ fell over 9%. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ fell over 3%, marking a four-day losing streak with a cumulative loss of nearly 10%. AppLovin tanked over 16%, leading a broader retreat in AI application software. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ slid below $70,000,

🌟🌟🌟The financial world is no longer just shifting. It is being completely reborn.  We are standing at the edge of a Digital Renaissance, where the old guards of centralised banking are meeting the unstoppable force of the Blockchain.  For those who feel the adrenaline of the crypto market but seek a sophisticated, diversified way to capture its power, $iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF(IBLC)$ isn't just a fund.   IBLC is a front row seat to the future of money. While some traders are chasing individual memecoins into the abyss, the visionary investor looks at the infrastructure.  IBLC does not just buy the coins

First, I want to share a screenshot from my previous analysis of silver and gold price action. In that earlier piece, I said silver’s short-term top—assuming the Fed did not turn more hawkish and there was no black-swan surge in the U.S. dollar—should be above 130, while gold could be headed above 5,000. A little over a week later, silver has already printed a new high, and gold has also surged well past 5,000. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ $2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ $白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ $微白银主连 2603(SILmain)$

Bitcoin had gone as low as $60K, but we saw it rebound to around $69K to $70K over the weekend, and now it is hovering around $70,000 at time of writing. What does it signal? If the Bitcoin bull run over? or are we going to see a super cycle restart? What are the signs and signals investors should look out for? We have seen how the market react to Strategy earnings release, and it have kind of affected some crypto-related stocks, $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$'s next earnings date is confirmed for Thursday 12 Feb 2026 after market next week, so will we see how investors on Coinbase have been acquiring Bitcoin and if the trend is poised to continue. In this article, we would like to look at a disciplined way to interpret the $60K → ~$70K rebound and

Your question goes directly to the core of what determines Bitcoin’s medium-term price formation: who controls marginal supply. The Brazil proposal is symbolically powerful, but its real impact depends on scale, execution, and how it interacts with existing institutional demand channels. Let us separate signal from narrative. --- 1. What the Brazil proposal actually changes Recent reports indicate Brazilian lawmakers are proposing a strategic sovereign Bitcoin reserve targeting up to 1 million BTC accumulated over five years.  At face value, that sounds enormous: Total BTC supply cap: 21 million Circulating supply: ~19.6 million 1 million BTC ≈ 5% of circulating supply On headlines alone, this suggests a major supply shock. However, markets do not price headline totals. They price mar

Since the crash last October, the weakness in crypto has not eased. With ETH breaking below 2,000 last week and BTC approaching the 60,000 level, the crypto complex has essentially been abandoned by the market. This also means its value as a leading indicator is no longer valid. After last week’s wide-range swings, precious metals are expected to enter a period of back-and-forth between bulls and bears.​ Using Bitcoin as the reference point, price broke below two key levels in a relatively short time: 100,000 and 80,000/75,000. The market’s rebound attempts have been feeble and did not even reach 100,000. Price has now fallen back to the lows from before Trump was elected; if this zone also breaks, there is basically open space below. This area also marks where many ETFs initially built po

Coinbase Is Down 60%+ Since July. What Its Chart Says Ahead of Earnings. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$   is heading into earnings this week at a time when the crypto firm's stock has fallen more than 60% from its July all-time high, has lost some 50% in three months and recently fell for 13 consecutive sessions. Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis tell us about this stock. Coinbase's Fundamental Analysis COIN is set to release Q4 results after the bell on Thursday, but its stock has been falling as Bitcoin has been falling. ( $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ is down some 45% from its October record highs.) The Street is looking for the company to report $0.66 in Q4 earnings per share on about $1.85 billion

$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$  $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  🚨₿📉 BTC Enters Monthly Bear Cycle, $MSTR Breakdown Intensifies 📉₿🚨 I believe BTC has now entered a monthly bear cycle, and the transition from expansion into correction is now transmitting directly into BTC-proxy equities like $MSTR. I’m stepping back from intraday noise and focusing on higher timeframe structure because regime shifts register here first, and right now structure is delivering a clear message. 📉 ₿ BTC Monthly Structure Breakdown I’m treating the 118k to 127k zone as the likely cycle high f

$Strategy(MSTR)$ is facing a pivotal moment as it prepares to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, February 5, 2026, after market close. The recent Bitcoin plunge below $75,000 has put the company's aggressive treasury model under its most intense stress test since the 2022 crypto winter. Here is an analysis of the upcoming results and the key metrics to watch. Q4 2025 Earnings Outlook The headline numbers for Q4 are expected to be messy due to the adoption of fair-value accounting for digital assets, which now forces the company to mark its Bitcoin holdings to market prices every quarter. EPS Consensus: Analysts are projecting a significant loss, with estimates ranging from $-18.06 to $-19.03 per share. This is a massive swing from the

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$  $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$  $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$   Investing.com | Author Vahid Karaahmetovic Published Dec 31, 0000 07:00PM ET Updated Feb 05, 2026 10:00AM ET Investing.com -- Bitcoin tumbled sharply this week, extending a months-long downturn as institutional demand faded and macro pressures intensified. The cryptocurrency fell below the $70,000 threshold on Thursday, marking a 44% retreat from its rough

Is This a Healthy Deleveraging or the Start of a Deeper Reset? The evidence strongly points to a painful but necessary healthy deleveraging within an ongoing bull market, rather than the start of a 2018/2022-style bear market reset. Here's the breakdown: Arguments for "Healthy Deleveraging": The Nature of the Drop: The ~40% drawdown from ~$73.8k to ~$72k (intraday) is well within historical norms for a Bitcoin bull market. Corrections of 30-40% are common. The velocity of the drop is due to excessive leverage being flushed, not a collapse in underlying conviction. Structural Support from ETFs: Unlike 2018 (post-ICO bubble) or 2022 (Luna/FTX collapse), there is now a massive, structural buyer of last resort: spot Bitcoin ETFs. Even with recent outflows, the net inflow since January is over

The proposed Brazilian plan to accumulate 1 million BTC over five years, representing approximately 5% of the total circulating Bitcoin, has indeed sparked a notable rebound in the cryptocurrency's price, with a 5% increase. To assess the sustainability of this bounce, let's break down the potential implications and factors at play. Sovereign Accumulation Impact: If Brazil were to successfully accumulate 1 million BTC, it would indeed reduce the float and tighten supply. This reduction in available Bitcoin for trading could potentially drive up demand and, consequently, the price. However, the actual impact would depend on how the accumulation is executed, whether it's through direct market purchases or other means, and how it's perceived by the market. Comparison with ETF Flows and Macro

$Strategy(MSTR)$   Based on the comprehensive analysis of Strategy (MSTR), the stock presents a complex investment proposition with significant volatility and cryptocurrency exposure that requires careful consideration. Sharks are in the water waiting to snap up Strategy stock [MSTR] by the droves at $104. Current Market Position and Performance: Strategy is currently trading at $106.99 (as of February 6, 2026), representing a significant decline of 17.12% from the previous close and a substantial drop from its 52-week high of $457.22. The stock has experienced extreme volatility, with a trading volume of 60.07 million shares and a turnover rate of 20.92%, indicating high market activity and potential investor

$160 for $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ thanks @MHh @icycrystal @Tiger_Earnings

1. What matters most this quarter? With revenue expected at $1.77B and transaction revenue softening, focus shifts to quality rather than headline growth. Key areas: Subscription and services stability at ~$723M USDC yield contribution Derivatives traction Operating expense discipline If recurring revenue mix rises further, valuation becomes less tied to spot volatility. 2. Does Bitcoin’s pullback help or hurt? At ~$69K, Bitcoin is consolidating after a sharp unwind. If leverage has indeed flushed out and large holders are accumulating, volatility may compress before the next directional move. For Coinbase, two scenarios: Bull case Stabilising BTC plus ETF flows revive retail and institutional activity into Q2. Bear case Muted volatility suppresses trading volumes despite price stability.

The recent decline in Bitcoin's price to 80,000, representinga344.8 billion over three months, which is the longest streak since their launch. The contrast between Bitcoin's weakness and the surge in gold prices underscores the complexities of investor sentiment and the evolving landscape of asset allocation. Institutional Appetite and ETF Outflows The sustained outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate a deeper shift in institutional appetite for Bitcoin. Institutions are treating Bitcoin as a risk asset rather than a safe-haven asset, similar to gold. This shift is influenced by various factors, including regulatory environments, market volatility, and the search for yield in a low-interest-rate environment. The outflows suggest that institutions are reevaluating their exposure to Bitcoin, pot