To The Moon

Yes . Gold will always be a mainstay of our society & oil is already starting to move again.

In the past two years, the rapid increase in benchmark interest rates has risen by 525 basis points, the fastest level since the 1980s. The more important question for investors to consider is whether the degree of Federal Reserve tightening is sufficient. By pushing up financing costs through policy interest rates, we can determine the degree of crowding out of incremental financing demand and erosion of stock interest costs. The purpose of monetary tightening is to suppress demand, mainly by raising policy interest rates to guide the overall financing costs of society to rise, thereby affecting new demand and stock costs: 1) financing costs are higher than investment returns, suppressing incremental financing demand; 2) stock interest pressure increases, squeezing out other consumption a

Honestly I think Australia's industries are gonna get a boost 

Middle East war is the long everlasting battle for centuries. Global stock markets will never collapse unless world war 3 happened.

Well done, keep it up

Will Turkey's Hamas Stance Send Shockwaves Through the Stock Market? Just recently, Turkey's President made a statement that shook things up - declaring that Hamas is not a terrorist organization. This bold claim led to a 7% tumble in the Istanbul benchmark, and now, everyone's wondering: will the Israel-Hamas conflict suppress the stock market again? The Istanbul benchmark took a hit, but let's remember that stock markets are sensitive creatures. A 7% drop can make heads turn, but it's not the end of the world. Turkey's statement on Hamas did raise concerns, and it's a reminder that global politics can sway markets. But, markets have a way of bouncing back, especially if this issue doesn't escalate further. So we can always keep an eye on this, and don't panic just yet. Now, will the oil

Looking forward to $ 100 oil

Gold touched $2000/oz resistance last Friday but has so far held most of its gains in a bullish fashion. It closed Wednesday at $1995/oz.  $Gold - Dec 2023(GC2312)$ Next Tuesday marks the monthly close.The monthly candle chart of Gold is below, with the resistance line at $2000. Gold has tested $2000/oz in seven of the past eight months.After many tests of resistance, we need a convincing monthly close to qualify as a breakout. Think of $2020/oz at a minimum. Gold-Monthly ChartThe $2000 level is also an important resistance on the weekly chart.Below, we plot the weekly candle chart with the equivalent to the 20-month and 40-month moving averages. Weekly resistance is at $2000 and $2025 to $2030. The wee

Fundamentals for oil are taking a back seat to the shifting winds of war. It’s war premium in, then war premium out, then war premium back in again. Oil has faded since Sunday night on expectations that Israel’s move on the Gaza Strip and Hamas was indefinitely postponed. A headline from the Wall Street Journal sent oil prices falling even harder that read,“Israel has agreed, for now, to a request from the U.S. to delay its expected ground invasion of Gaza.”Yet the headline did not tell the whole story. The rest of the story was that the reason for the delay was, “so the Pentagon can place air defenses in the region to protect U.S. troops.” Oil then really surged back after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a TV interview what the market should have known, and tha

$Boeing(BA)$ Looks like another year of losses. It should sink to $170. 2024 estimates look way too high, just like the 2023 estimates a year ago were way to high. Everyone thought they would be profitable this year. Nope, and still years from paying a dividend.4 delivery days remain and they have delivered a whopping 19 aircraft all month. So much for "wait til 4Q" Sure Clownhoun, same song and dance. 4Q will be a disaster too……

$Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ Man, wish I had set my limit buy to add more at 395 instead of 392. I was just a little bit off. Only friggin morons sold off defense stocks last month. Not only was this deeply oversold, it was trading under the 10y trend which was insane. $Terran Orbital Corp(LLAP)$ Lots of misinformation being said here, he just answered the most important questions, they are fully funded, Rivada payment still coming this year and why? Why would $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ would be giving them new contracts if they are a risky company and on the verge of bankruptcy?? Coming people!!!!

I should clarify: $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ has a partnership with LLAP 0.82 - the agreement goes until 2035.LMT owns 69 million shares in aggregate. They recently contracted for another 36 satellites, 42 satellites, and put up 10 satellites in orbit.What’s more, as an Israeli, Ground invasion is inevitable on many levels. In addition, Hezbollah is attacking Israel from the north, the Iranians are preparing for a big move and constantly attacks US bases in Syria and Iraq. In this positive note, This seems like a good investment.Live Long And Prosper Star Trek GIF

May be let's see☺️☺️☺️☺️

@TigerGPT [Happy] $Bank of America(BAC)$ 

Gold and Crypto will raise as they are considered to be safe assets during turmoil.

In the wake of the Hamas attack on Israel, gold prices have shot up.  Expansion of oil revenues enhances gold prices. As oil and gold prices move in tandem, recent escalating conflicts will cause oil and gold prices to surge due to increase haven demand.

It will surge oil an gold

It's no secret that geopolitical tensions, like this ongoing conflict, can have a significant influence on stock markets. In the past, we've seen how uncertainty and violence in the Middle East can lead to market volatility. Investors tend to become more risk-averse during such times, and this can cause stock prices to fluctuate. When it comes to oil and gold prices, Turkey's statements can play a role. Turkey is strategically located in a region that is crucial for the energy market, and any statement or action from the Turkish government regarding oil can send shockwaves through the industry. If there's a perceived threat to oil supply routes or production, it could drive up oil prices. Gold, often considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty, might also see increased demand if tensio

Na we need to stop taking  the oil it's all there for reason 

Yes indeed Gold and Liquid Gold (Oil) are evergreen safe investments which seldom dip. Even though if a rare dip occurs, the recovery is fast and moreover it surges to the next level whenever this happens, making them the best bets to invest on.

In the past two years, the rapid increase in benchmark interest rates has risen by 525 basis points, the fastest level since the 1980s. The more important question for investors to consider is whether the degree of Federal Reserve tightening is sufficient. By pushing up financing costs through policy interest rates, we can determine the degree of crowding out of incremental financing demand and erosion of stock interest costs. The purpose of monetary tightening is to suppress demand, mainly by raising policy interest rates to guide the overall financing costs of society to rise, thereby affecting new demand and stock costs: 1) financing costs are higher than investment returns, suppressing incremental financing demand; 2) stock interest pressure increases, squeezing out other consumption a

Big-Tech’s PerformanceSep CPI beat estimate, which boosted yields that had recently dropped slightly, again, leading a increasing estimate of tightening in November. As a result, risk-off mode on, US stocks down at the beginning of the Q3 earnings season. As close of Oct 12th, almost all major tech companies had gained in the past five trading days, with $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ +6.36%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ +5.06%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +5.05%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ +3.69%, $Apple(AAPL)$ +3.32%, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ +2.89%, only

In the tumultuous world of financial markets, few events have the same immediate and profound impact as the outbreak of war. This has been witnessed time and time again, and most recently, the Israel-Hamas conflict has rekindled concerns about the stability of oil and gold prices. Understanding how these commodities react during times of war and why their prices tend to remain elevated in the face of prolonged conflicts is crucial for investors and traders seeking to navigate these turbulent waters. $Gold - main 2312(GCmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2312(CLmain)$  Oil and Gold Prices in Times of War The relationship between geopoliti

Hello Tigers,This article was jointly written by Kevin Chen, chief economist of Horizon Financial, adjunct professor at New York University, and Cao Huining, professor at Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business.1. Crude oil, gold and foreign exchange markets On Saturday, October 7, after the outbreak of conflict, crude oil futures opened with a sharp 4.5% gain on Sunday night. However, many fund managers and sell-side analysts on Wall Street generally felt that the crude oil market's response was below expectations.The reaction appears to be lower than before for several reasons:Firstly, crude oil $WTI Crude Oil - main 2312(CLmain)$ prices have already risen sharply in September due to production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia. Compared

Fundamentals for oil are taking a back seat to the shifting winds of war. It’s war premium in, then war premium out, then war premium back in again. Oil has faded since Sunday night on expectations that Israel’s move on the Gaza Strip and Hamas was indefinitely postponed. A headline from the Wall Street Journal sent oil prices falling even harder that read,“Israel has agreed, for now, to a request from the U.S. to delay its expected ground invasion of Gaza.”Yet the headline did not tell the whole story. The rest of the story was that the reason for the delay was, “so the Pentagon can place air defenses in the region to protect U.S. troops.” Oil then really surged back after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a TV interview what the market should have known, and tha

For most of 2023, the Fed's tight monetary policy has been weighing on the price of gold. However, as the tightening cycle nears its end, dampening effect of interest rate hikes towards the gold price is starting to wane, providing more upside for the gold price, which surged last week.After hitting a 7-month low on Friday before two weeks, gold prices rose more than $90 last week, the biggest one-week gain since mid-March, with December gold futures prices rising more than 6% to $1,941.50 per ounce from previous week's low two weeks ago. In addition, silver prices also surged last week, with December silver futures prices rising more than $1 to $22.895 per ounce, totaling 9.5%. Prior to the end of last week, one of the most important catalysts for the surge in gol

Palestinian militant Hamas launched a large-scale raid on Israel on Saturday, and Israel immediately launched air strikes on Hamas strongholds.The Israeli government stated on Sunday that the death toll in Israel has exceeded 600, with more than 100 people taken hostage, and more than 2,000 people injured. The health department of the Gaza Strip said that at least 370 people in Gaza have been killed and 2,200 injured.US President Biden ordered "additional assistance" to Israel. As the United States began to provide new ammunition and equipment military assistance to Israel on Sunday (October 8), the U.S. Department of Defense dispatched the most advanced nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Ford strike group to the Mediterranean waters close to Israel to prepare to help defend Israel. U.S.

There are two main reasons for the delay in credit tightening compared to monetary tightening in the current economic cycle in the United States.Firstly, during the pandemic, large-scale fiscal stimulus measures raised expectations for returns in the real economy and financial markets. This kept credit demand strong, despite the increase in financing costs resulting from monetary policy tightening. For example, banks did start to tighten lending standards shortly after interest rate hikes, and the tightening of standards for commercial real estate loans and business loans has risen rapidly to levels similar to early 2020. However, credit growth in terms of scale only began to significantly decline since the end of 2022, and credit spreads have remained low.Secondly, when the private sector

Title: Economic Implications of the Israel-Palestine Conflict: Examining the Winners and Losers Introduction: The Israel-Palestine conflict has been a long-standing and complex issue with significant economic ramifications. While it is important to acknowledge the tragic humanitarian toll and the immense human suffering that this conflict has caused, it is also crucial to analyze the economic aspects and identify who may benefit from this protracted struggle. 1. Defense Industry and Arms Manufacturers: One of the key beneficiaries of the Israel-Palestine conflict is the defense industry and arms manufacturers. As tensions escalate, both sides invest heavily in military technology and weaponry to secure their interests and protect their citizens. This demand fuels the growth of defense comp

The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet ended, and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has been re-ignited, making the world more and more unstable.Last Saturday, the Palestinian militant group Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip, raided Israel, killing hundreds of people. Israel then declared war and began retaliatory air strikes. Us send warships to Mediterranean, and Biden said he would provide "all appropriate assistance" to Israel.Analysts believe that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict may drag other Arab countries into the war, and a new round of war in the Middle East is imminent.The more chaotic the world, the more benefit the defense industry. Us defense stocks exploded yesterday, of which $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ rose 11.4%,

Palestine’s Hamas launched an unprecedented attack on Israel over the weekend, resulting in the deaths of more than 700 Israelis. At the same time, Israel declared a state of legitimate war for the first time in its government's name since 1973. Additionally, dozens of hostages, including Americans, were taken back to Gaza.For both parties in the conflictIsrael's military prowess in the Middle East is not "unbeatable." $iShares MSCI Israel ETF(EIS)$ Israel's significant intelligence failures left it unprepared for Hamas's hybrid warfare tactics, including lightning-fast small team raids and basic drone attacks.Internal political divisions in Israel may have contributed to the success of this attack.The United States, as an ally, may have been more

Some argue that wars can create economic instability, leading to bearish trends in the stock market, while others contend that certain sectors, like defense and technology, might experience bullish growth during times of conflict.The war bulls list the wars and index performance. It seems that 4 out of 5 presented upward momentum after the war broke out.The bears compare the price trend of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and oil prices $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ Let’s look at the recent war in 2022:The first chart shows that $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rebounded soon after Russia-Ukraine conflicts broke out on 24th Feb, 2022.However, for a longer period, the index kept

Starting from early September, long-term government bonds represented by 10-year U.S. Treasuries have rapidly increased. On October 3rd, the yield on the 10-year government bond surpassed 4.81%, and the 10-year TIPS yield exceeded 2.45%, marking new highs since 2007 and 2008, respectively. This has had a global impact, with pressure on U.S. stocks and other emerging markets, and a significant drop in the price of gold. As October began, U.S. bond yields started to retreat, and the U.S. stock market saw some degree of rebound.With the recent surge of the "anchor of global asset pricing," an increasing number of senior Federal Reserve officials believe that the sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields, tightening financial conditions, can substitute for further increases in the benchmark interest

1. Poor $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ -10.3%: just announced EV shipments to Israel two weeks agoXPeng's stock (XPEV) declined approximately 12% less than two weeks after its significant export of 750 electric vehicles to Israel.The drop occurred despite this large shipment, which included models P7 and G9, marking their most substantial export in 2023. The company had previously secured a deal with Freesbe to establish a sales and service network in Israel.Prior to the attack, sentiment was generally positive for XPEV stock in the derivatives market. 2. $23andMe, Inc.(ME)$ -6.27%: leaked genetic data might be used in attack 23andMe's stock fell over 6% following the confirmation of a data breach where attackers

Oil Prices Hit New High, Is a November Fed Rate Hike a Certainty? What's Happening in the Oil Market? Recently, there has been renewed attention on the oil market due to Saudi Arabia's production cut measures in July. The country reduced its daily output to9 million barrels in response to concerns about a global economic slowdown leading to a decrease in oil prices. This has put pressure on international oil prices, which have rebounded from their low point in June. In early September, Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister announced an extension of these reduction measures until December, exacerbating the already tight energy market. Soon after, on September 19th, the international crude benchmark Brent crude oil price approached $95 per barrel, reaching a 10-month high and increasing 30% com

Geopolitical tensions often have significant ripple effects in financial markets. The recent escalation of the Israel-Hamas conflict on October 7, 2023, provides investors with both challenges and opportunities. In this article, we’ll delve into the conflict’s background, explore how the defense sector stands to benefit, and examine the potential impact on oil prices, along with potential trading strategies. 1. The Israel-Hamas Conflict: A Brief Overview: • The Israel-Hamas conflict has a complex history, marked by recurring hostilities and disputes over territory, security, and governance. • The recent escalation was preceded by rising tensions, including clashes in East Jerusalem and contested territories. 2. Defense Sector Stocks in Focus: • During times of conflict, investors often

67% gain within 15 mins from market open riding on positive bank earnings on Friday. However, stocks fell off their session highs after consumer sentiment data was released at 10am. Preliminary consumer sentiment data slumped in October while inflation expectations spiked. Hang on bulls, going into year two next week Market sentiments was bullish at premarket from positive banks earnings but experienced pressure by a spike in oil prices and rising inflation expectations although treasury yields remain unchanged on Friday. The Federal Reserve may have to cut the Fed funds rate in 2024 or risk a recession, said fund manager Louis Navellier. The FOMC minutes as well as the latest inflation data have served to take a Fed rate cut at its December FOMC meeting off the table for now, he

To start with a brief statement of the obvious, the movements of markets are of trivial importance compared with the value of human life. Financial commentary is therefore a small sidebar to the story in Israel and Gaza. But it is what we do here at Unhedged.  With that said, the geopolitical risk environment changed over the weekend in a significant way. As many commentators have pointed out, the implications of the war between Israel and Hamas could well reach far beyond the region, to the US, China, Ukraine and Russia. All of this could make big differences to the prices of real and financial assets over time. The uncertainties, however, are overwhelming. At moments like this, there is a temptation to think that the great collective weighing machine known as the market might offer

Oil prices jumped more than 4% on Monday as the conflict between Israel and Hamas escalated over the weekend, raising concerns about potential disruption to Middle East crude supplies. Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose 4.53% to $88.41 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. marker, gained 4.69% to $88.67. The sharp gains came after Palestinian militant group Hamas launched a surprise multi-front attack on Israel Saturday morning, with armed fighters infiltrating Israel by land, sea and air. The brazen assault came just hours after Hamas fired thousands of rockets into Israel from Gaza. As of Monday, at least 700 Israelis have been killed in the fighting, NBC News reported. Meanwhile, Gaza’s Health Ministry has recorded 313 Palestinian deaths. Analysts say oil’s price su

The Biden administration unilaterally upgraded chip-related sanctions against China, affecting not only the 8% intraday drop in $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ (though it closed at -4%), but also the acquisition of $VMware(VMW)$ . $Broadcom(AVGO)$ was planning to acquire VMware for over $60 billion, making it a crucial deal hinging on antitrust regulations in various countries. While countries like the UK, South Korea, and Japan had previously given their consent for this union, China's stance on "chip sanctions" became the most significant variable in this merger. Last Friday (October 12th), there were reports in the media that Chinese regulators had intentions to "greenlig