To The Moon

This week is the week where earnings are ramping up. In the financial sector, we have Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs reporting. Investors will digest their report with the others that have reported last Friday In the chips sector, we have ASML and TSMC reporting. The latter makes chips for Nvidia, Apple and many other companies. Investors would want to hear from them the forecast of 2024 on chips demand In the tech sector, we have Tesla and Netflix reporting. Based on past records, their earnings usually triggered huge movements in its share price. ==== Do check out my YouTube video for weekly stock market analysis Earnings Kickoff! Tesla and Netflix Earnings! https://youtu.be/RJNq19OTpHE $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Fed will pause the rate hike as USA small n mid size banks most can't withstand and more bankruptcy may follow to destabilize democrats election campaign 

Good job sir nice project

I’m hoping for a pause, but seems there’s still a chance for one last rate hike this year…

I’m hoping for a pause, but seems there’s still a chance for one last rate hike this year… Nonetheless, it's always about trading with caution. But for those positions that we intend to hold long, it's a great opportunity to enter if it comes down 

By end of the year,  there be 1 more rate hike !! FED target for inflation is down to about 2% .. think there is still some distance away from current CPI

please, I don't understand

Rate hike will pause 

Sticky Inflation, rate hike possible

CPI is just an indicator, we should look at the growth of a company and invest long term

I Reward waiting please

Thank Tiger 🐅🙏🙏

The CPI affirms that inflation remains sticky. With the PPI showing marked increase, we should see inflation seeping into the economy in the coming weeks.  With the CPI, will the Fed maintain the interest rate or raise it? From the various interviews of the Fed, there seems to be a split of views - some suggesting the raising of rates and some suggesting the rates should remain. Yet, let's not forget that Fed's preferred inflation indicator is PCE, core PCE to be exact.  It needs to be reviewed through the lens of unemployment, inflation and also the broader economy. Go for great companies with good margin of safety. There is money to be made in every market, bull, bear or baboon. 

I will follow chart 📈📉. Ignored CPI [Happy]  

According to the forecast of 23 large investment banks, the increase of non-farm payrolls in the United States is expected to be between 150,000 and 240,000, the unemployment rate is expected to be between 3.6% and 3.9%, and the average hourly wage is expected to increase at an annual rate of 4.3%-4.4%.The final data showed that the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 336,000 in September, the largest increase since the beginning of this year.Far exceeding the expected 170,000, the value was 187,000 in early August.What is even more exaggerated is that the employment data of the previous two months has also been greatly revised upwards: the number of new people in August was revised up by 40,000 to 227,000; The number of new people in July was greatly revised from

Big-Tech’s PerformanceSep CPI beat estimate, which boosted yields that had recently dropped slightly, again, leading a increasing estimate of tightening in November. As a result, risk-off mode on, US stocks down at the beginning of the Q3 earnings season. As close of Oct 12th, almost all major tech companies had gained in the past five trading days, with $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ +6.36%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ +5.06%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +5.05%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ +3.69%, $Apple(AAPL)$ +3.32%, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ +2.89%, only

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The tech-heavy Nasdaq led to reboundThe stock market remained a fight between bulls and bears as Treasury yields surged to fresh 16-year highs. The S&P 500 and the Dow undercut recent lows early in the week, but bounced back late in the week led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq.The U.S. economy added 336,000 jobs in September, about double expectations. Average hourly wages rose a tame 0.2% for a second straight month, lowering the 12-month increase to 4.2%. The jobless rate held at 3.8% for a second month.Stocks posted a stunning turnaround on Friday. The 10-year Treasury yield once skyrocketed as high as 4.89%. Traders were unclear of the reason for the intraday reversal. Some noted it could be the softer wage number in the jobs report that made investors ret

Palestine’s Hamas launched an unprecedented attack on Israel over the weekend, resulting in the deaths of more than 700 Israelis. At the same time, Israel declared a state of legitimate war for the first time in its government's name since 1973. Additionally, dozens of hostages, including Americans, were taken back to Gaza.For both parties in the conflictIsrael's military prowess in the Middle East is not "unbeatable." $iShares MSCI Israel ETF(EIS)$ Israel's significant intelligence failures left it unprepared for Hamas's hybrid warfare tactics, including lightning-fast small team raids and basic drone attacks.Internal political divisions in Israel may have contributed to the success of this attack.The United States, as an ally, may have been more

Some argue that wars can create economic instability, leading to bearish trends in the stock market, while others contend that certain sectors, like defense and technology, might experience bullish growth during times of conflict.The war bulls list the wars and index performance. It seems that 4 out of 5 presented upward momentum after the war broke out.The bears compare the price trend of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and oil prices $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ Let’s look at the recent war in 2022:The first chart shows that $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rebounded soon after Russia-Ukraine conflicts broke out on 24th Feb, 2022.However, for a longer period, the index kept

Starting from early September, long-term government bonds represented by 10-year U.S. Treasuries have rapidly increased. On October 3rd, the yield on the 10-year government bond surpassed 4.81%, and the 10-year TIPS yield exceeded 2.45%, marking new highs since 2007 and 2008, respectively. This has had a global impact, with pressure on U.S. stocks and other emerging markets, and a significant drop in the price of gold. As October began, U.S. bond yields started to retreat, and the U.S. stock market saw some degree of rebound.With the recent surge of the "anchor of global asset pricing," an increasing number of senior Federal Reserve officials believe that the sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields, tightening financial conditions, can substitute for further increases in the benchmark interest

Assessing the Impact of Soaring U.S. Treasury Yields: Who Will Be Most Affected? Heading into October, surging U.S. Treasury yields are once again causing turbulence in global financial markets and raising investor concerns. Last week saw the $U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield (US30Y.BD)$ surge above 5%, a level not seen in 16 years. After the $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ climbed to 4.85%, market experts predict that the benchmark yield will reach 5% for the first time since 2007. The sell-off in the U.S. Treasury market has pushed borrowing costs to levels not seen in over a decade, directly impacting major buyers such as the Federal Reserve, U.S. banks,pension funds, insurance companies, and overseas investors. Furthermore, this trend indirectly threatens various parts

On October 11, 2023, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index (PPI) data for September, which painted a mixed picture of the nation’s economic health. With inflation at the forefront of investors’ minds, this article delves into the intricacies of the latest PPI report, exploring what it could imply for the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for release on October 12, 2023. Furthermore, it assesses the implications of these inflation figures on the financial markets and offers insights into potential strategies for investors. 1. US PPI Data Highlights: The US PPI data for September revealed the following key points: • Inflation Uptick: The PPI increased by 0.5% in September, surpassing expectations. This acceleration was primarily driven by hi

48% gain within 60 mins from taking calls at open. The market is not at all affected by the Israel-Hamas conflict with treasury yields retreating and market surging forth. ⚠️ Trading tips: looking at QQQ calls above 369.55 and puts below 367.78 on Wednesday. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to unveil the eagerly awaited Producer Price Index (PPI) report for September, a day before the widely-followed Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Both the PPI and the CPI constitute the final two crucial economic indicators leading up to the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting scheduled for 31 Oct to 1 Nov. Ride the trend for now The magnificent seven are up approximately 96% year-to-date on average versus the equal weight S&P 500 index, which is flat. That 

Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures are always closely monitored, as they offer a snapshot of the economy’s health and guide monetary policy. In this article, we will delve into what drives CPI, explore the factors behind the expectation of lower CPI in September, and discuss the potential market reactions.$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$  1. Understanding CPI: • What Is CPI? The Consumer Price Index is a crucial economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of cons

On Tuesday, 10-year US Treasury yield dropped by around 17 basis points, falling below 4.7%. Amid escalating tensions in the Israeli-Hamas conflict, investors turned to traditional safe-haven assets like government bonds, driving up bond prices and causing yields to decrease. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Despite of this decline, US treasury yields remain elevated and put pressure on stock market $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and Fed officials.Fed officials express dovish signals: rate hike may pause again in November?Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday,The recent runup in US long-term bond yields is puzzling.Logan, the Dallas Federal Reserve president and a member of the rat

Adobe MAX user conference and Analyst Day was centered around the theme of generative artificial intelligence, or Gen AI, and highlighted Adobe's range of offerings that support the needs of all audiences. $Adobe(ADBE)$ It seems like ADBE has moved towards its YTD high since last earnings. Is there still a buy on its AI-driven product?Tuesday, Adobe unveiled Firefly Image 2 Model and also showcased Adobe GenStudio — a new service which brings together Creative Cloud, Express and Experience Cloud, with Firefly gen. AI — among other tools and features.Photoshop's AI powers land on Chromebooks as Adobe debuts Firefly 2 | PCWorldOur point on Adobe’s AI is thatLimited Firefly data disclosure. Firefly is ADBE's core AI offering. In the six months since

On Tuesday's trading day, $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ rose 3.35%. Its trading volume ranked seventh in the entire US stock market, with a trading volume of $95.65M.At the same time, $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ fell 3.35%, ranking 10th in the entire US stock market in trading volume, with a trading volume of $77.76M.Will you buy $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ or $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ ?Firstly, I believe that you know the above two triple-leveraged ETFs and $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ (down 1.11%) are tracking the index of $NASDAQ 1

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMacro level, the unexpectedly high August CPI released this week may serve as a guide for the next month. Meanwhile, Apple's product launch was unimpressive, but market risk appetite is gradually increasing, primarily due to the slowly emerging advantages of certain tech stocks in the AI era.As of the closing on September 14th, all big techs record positive return over the past week. The strongest performers was $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ with +12.64%, followed by $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ with +4.6%, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ with +3.38%, $Microsoft(MSF

German high-end footwear manufacturer $Birkenstock Holding plc(BIRK)$ debuted on the US stock market with a closing price of $40.2, a 12.6% drop from its initial public offering price of $46. The stock opened at $41, an 11% drop, making it the worst-performing new stock in over two years with a valuation of over $1 billion. Analysis: Birkenstock's IPO turns south as shares slide on first day of trading | CNN BusinessBirkenstock's market value is now over $8 billion based on the closing price. French billionaire Bernard Arnault and his luxury goods conglomerate $LVMH-Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton(LVMHF)$ invested in Birkenstock's controlling stake in 2021, valuing the company at $4.35 billion. L Catterton,

The CPI has a significant impact on financial markets and can provide valuable insights for traders and investors alike. In this article, I'll share my thoughts on whether core CPI will continue to drop as expected, offer my expectations for September CPI, and discuss how I plan to trade this week. Will Core CPI Continue to Drop as Expected? In recent months, the trend in core CPI has been closely watched by economists, policymakers, and market participants. Core CPI excludes volatile food and energy prices, providing a more stable gauge of inflation. It's important because high inflation can erode the purchasing power of consumers and affect the overall health of the economy. I believe that the direction of core CPI will largely depend on several factors, including supply chain disru

Event $Netflix(NFLX)$ plunged 5%+ on Wednesday, due to the CFO providing relatively negative guidance at the Bank of America Media, Communications, and Entertainment Summit. He believes that the company's advertising business will not have a significant impact on the company in the short term and announced an operating profit margin guidance of 18-20%, which is lower than the market's consensus expectation of 22%.The market's high expectations for profit margins are mainly based on the anticipation of a high-margin advertising business, indicating that Netflix's advertising business may be constrained by certain factors.Investment HighlightsRevenue is still growing positively, but the growth expectation for ARPU should not be too high. The market

September 9, 2023, at 5:00 a.m. Tokyotime, the Yomiuri Shimbun published an exclusive interview with the Governor of the Bank of Japan, Haruhiko Kuroda. The interview took place on September 6 at the headquarters of the Bank of Japan. The main points of the report are as follows.Why 5.00 AM?The relevant report was released at 5:00 am on Saturday, it was to cushion the impact of the hawkish information on the market.About Inflation"The positive signs of achieving the inflation target are continuing, but we h

Following the conclusion of the Apple Wonderlust event, the market’s attention is shifting to Wednesday morning, when Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data will be released. ⚠️ Trading tips: looking at calls above 446.5 and puts below 444.5 after CPI data releases. Another day of big move coming up after days of consolidation expected. Not financial advice 😉 Some room for the upside? 🤔 The Bad News According to the forecasts, this forthcoming inflation report is expected to diverge significantly from recent ones, raising concerns that have been dormant for over a year. Economists are anticipating a substantial year-on-year surge in the overall CPI index for August, projecting a rate of 3.6%, a notable increase from the 3.2% recorded in July. More worrisome is the estimated monthly pric

$Oracle(ORCL)$ dropped 13% after release of FY24Q1 earnings report as of August 31. The decline was primarily attributed to lower-than-expected cloud licensing revenue, leading investors to question whether the company could meet its AI-related expectations. However, despite this setback, Oracle has seen a year-to-date increase of over 35%, making it the second-best year since the internet bubble of 2000. It is much like a correction following overly optimistic expectations.Earnings Overview- Revenue: $12.45 billion, a 9% year-on-year increase, slightly below the market's expected $12.47 billion.- Cloud revenue: $4.6 billion, a 29% year-on-year increase at constant exchange rates, down from 55% in the previous quarter.- Cloud services and license