Investing in High, Predictable Growth: S&P 500 Insights
Here's how the constituents of the S&P 500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ differ based on their growth rate and the linearity of that growth.I invest in the top right, where growth is high and predictable.ImageWhen analysing a company, consider where its product/service fits in its customer’s income statement. I personally target essential spending, ideally related to OPEX and maintenance CAPEX.ImageTwo things you can do to become a better investor: 1. Limit the number of companies you own 2. Limit how frequently you trade This forces you to: 1. Only own your best ideas 2. Accept there will always opportunities you miss out on
Two additional large orders for Chinese concept stocks:$KWEB 20250919 32.0 CALL$ September-expiring 32 call, exchange-traded, opened 46,000 lots, total transaction value approximately 11 million. $ASHR 20250321 26.0 CALL$ 26 call expiring in March, opened 32,000 lots, with a total transaction value of approximately 3.48 million. The trading direction is relatively neutral. Although the direction label is bearish, the transaction price is 1.09, which is not far from the difference between the bid and ask prices, 0.02 and 0.03 respectively. It can be interpreted in either way.
$300 Million NVIDIA Call Options Purchase, With a Surprising Strike Price!
$NVDA$After TSM's earnings report on Thursday showing long-term AI benefits, I expected to see large bullish options positions in NVIDIA. I was stunned to see 22,800 new June contracts with a $5 strike price! $NVDA 20250620 5.0 CALL$ With NVIDIA trading around $135, a $5 strike means deep in-the-money options, with prices approximately equal to stock price minus strike price. Each contract cost around $13,000, making the 22,800 contracts worth about $296 million.Deep in-the-money options have poor liquidity, and since this large order wasn't executed on-exchange, it took considerable time to fill.While the strike price may not provide much directional guidance, a $300 million purchase representing 2.28 million shares upon
A day after both stocks and bonds got a huge “boost” from cooling core inflation data, it was a quieter session in markets, the day after. Declines in technology stocks dragged on major indexes Thursday, and Treasury yields dropped for the 3rd straight session. Despite gains in 8 of 11 sectors, US market still closed broadly lower at 4pm: (see above) DJIA: -0.16% (-68.42 TO 43,153.13). S&P 500: -0.21% (-12.57 TO 5,937.34). Nasdaq: -0.89% (-172.94 to 19,338.29). A quick glance at the Mag 7 reaffirms these bigwigs’ fall on Thursday. $Apple(AAPL)$ : -4.04% (-$9.61 to $228.26). $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : -3.36% (-$14.40 to $413.82). $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : -1.92% (-$2.62 to $133.62).
Eli Lilly Stock Takes a Hit, Is Now the Time to Buy?
$Eli Lilly(LLY)$ The market appears to be recovering today, with green across the board. However, one standout is Eli Lilly, which is down about 7% today and has seen a 21% decline over the past few months. So why is it down today, and is this a great opportunity to buy the dip? Let's dive into the reasons behind the drop and explore the potential for investors. The primary reason for Eli Lilly's decline is the company's weaker-than-expected revenue outlook for the fourth quarter. They have projected revenue of $13.5 billion, falling short of the anticipated $13.93 billion. Additionally, their ZET bound sales are expected to reach only $1.9 billion, below the forecast of $2.14 billion. Another factor contributing to the drop is Eli Lilly's announce
As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take the oath of office for his second term, I'm focusing on how this transition could impact my investment strategy. With the inauguration drawing significant financial backing from major corporations, including crypto giants like Coinbase, Kraken, and Ripple, it signals that the business world is aligning with the new administration. This could lead to favorable policies for certain sectors, particularly technology, healthcare, and defense. I'm keeping an eye on stocks from companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft, as well as industries like defense (Boeing, Lockheed Martin) and vehicles (Ford, General Motors). The crypto market also looks promising, with ongoing involvement from key players like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Ripple. Gi
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Hello, Tigers!🐯How's your trade going this week?We recently started rewarding the sharing of winning trades in the Telegram CashBoost group every week. In this activity, you can earn tiger coins and receive tiger-themed peripheral souvenirs.Welcome to join the Telegram group!🎁Get Bonus to Unlock Your 2025 Investing Potential with Cash Boost Account🎉Follow @Tiger_Contra to see more Dividend Picks & High Alpha Stocks analysis.The market has seen some recovery this week, we have been excited to see many Tigers in the community who have opened a Cash Boost account and are sharing their profitable trades.This week, six users have already profited a lot through Contra.On 16 Januar
California Wildfires: 😢Affected or Benefiting Industries & Stocks
On January 7, 2025, a wildfire broke out in the Los Angeles area of California, US, and it is still ongoing. As of January 15, the fire has burned an area of over 164.3 square kilometers.More than 90,000 people in Los Angeles have been evacuated. Some institutions have raised their loss estimates for the Los Angeles fire to between $135 billion and $150 billion.Abiel Reinhart, an economist at JPMorgan Chase, believes that the economic losses from this wildfire are estimated to be around $250 billion, surpassing the losses caused by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.Tens of thousands of residents have been displaced and are in need of food, shelter, emergency medical supplies, mental health counseling, and even the purchase of new homes. Many businesses have also suffered severe damage to their ope
$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth Group is a leading health insurance and healthcare services company, offering a broad range of health services, including insurance plans, pharmacy benefits, and medical services through its two primary business segments: UnitedHealthcare: Provides healthcare coverage and benefits. Optum: A diversified health services platform that includes pharmacy care, health management, and data analytics. UnitedHealth Group reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings on January 16, 2025, revealing both positive and concerning financial metrics. Earnings Miss or Lower-than-Expected Guidance. While adjusted EPS for Q4 2024 exceeded expectations, there could still be concerns about earnings growth in future quarters. If management l
Apple Stock ( AAPL) Incomplete Sequences Forecasting the Path Ahead
Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to look at the Elliott Wave charts of Apple Stock ( AAPL) published in members area of the website. As probably most of the traders know, The Stock is in overall bullish trend. Recently we forecasted the pull back which has corrected the cycle from the 195.88 low. In further text we’re going to explain the Elliott Wave analysis. AAPL Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 01.08.2025 Apple stock is showing incomplete sequences in the cycle from the 260.11 peak. A break of the (W) low created a lower low sequence, which calls for further weakness in the stock as long as the pivot at 247.35 (X) blue high holds. Apple could be heading toward the $229–$225 area. Let’s analyze the price structure further. We
Elliott Wave View Looking for NZDUSD to Extend Lower
Short Term Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests that cycle from 9.30.2024 high is in progress as an impulse. Down from 9.30.2024 high, wave (1) ended at 0.5813 and wave (2) ended at 0.5929. Pair has resumed lower in wave (3) which ended at 0.5583 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Rally in wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag. Up from wave (3), wave A ended at 0.5684 and wave B ended at 0.5628. Wave C higher ended at 0.5692 which completed wave (4) in higher degree. Pair has resumed lower in wave (5). Down from wave (4), wave ((i)) ended at 0.5568 and wave ((ii)) rally ended at 0.5603. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 0.5539 and rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 0.5573. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 0.5538 which completed wave 1. From there, pair bounce in wave 2 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up fr
SMH Semiconductor ETF Rally Continuation Should Be Around the Corner
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks a market-cap weighted index composed of 25 of the largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies. The top holdings of SMH include companies like NVIDIA, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Broadcom Inc., Texas Instruments, QUALCOMM, ASML Holding N.V., Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, Micron Technology, Inc., and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SMH 4 Hour Chart September 11th Last September 11th, we talked about SMH. After completing wave (III), we had a deep pullback as a zig zag correction. Down from wave (III), wave “a”ended at 226.50 low and bounced as wave “b” ended at 251.00 high. Last push lower completed wave “c” and a wave (IV)
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
This week, Hong Kong stocks saw a strong rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 2.73% over the week.Key Data and Market Reactions On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that 256,000 jobs were added in December, far exceeding the market's expectation of 165,000. The unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in November to 4.1%. This led to speculation that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts, which caused a drop in U.S. stocks and negatively impacted the Hong Kong market.On Wednesday, the U.S. December CPI showed a 2.9% year-on-year increase, matching expectations. Core CPI, which had been rising for months, showed signs of slowing down. The market now anticipates the Fed might cut rates by July, earlier than the previous forecast of September.Positi
Mixed Market Day: Strong Bank Earnings, Retail Resilience, and Tariff Talks
1. Bank Earnings Signal Robust Performance Fourth-quarter results from major banks like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America highlighted the strong economic backdrop supporting their operations. Morgan Stanley reported a staggering 147% year-over-year earnings growth, fueled by robust investment banking and trading revenues. Similarly, Bank of America doubled its earnings, driven by higher interest income and improved trading activity. The broader takeaway? The financial sector continues to thrive, bolstered by a growing economy, post-election market optimism, and lower interest rates compared to last year. BoA 2. Corporate Earnings: A Mixed Bag Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: Delivered strong results on the back of high demand for artificial intelligence (AI) hardware, underscoring the
Nvidia: The Bellwether of AI and Semiconductor Innovation
Nvidia ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) remains one of the most closely watched stocks in the U.S. equity market, and for good reason. As a central player in the AI, semiconductor, and GPU markets, Nvidia's performance holds implications far beyond its financials, influencing broader trends in technology, artificial intelligence, and the stock market itself. In this article, we explore whether Nvidia continues to offer a compelling investment case amid recent pullbacks and market uncertainties. Recent Performance and Market Sentiment Stock Performance Nvidia's stock soared over 200% in the first half of 2024, fueled by optimism surrounding the AI boom. However, the momentum has slowed in recent months due to concerns about valuation, macroeconomic headwinds, an