$Eli Lilly(LLY)$ has surged more than 50% in 2024, but some Wall Street analysts believe there's more room for growth.Bank of America analyst Geoff Meacham is particularly excited about the company's recent progress in obesity, diabetes, and Alzheimer’s disease. He saw the stock potentially climbing to $1,150 per share, a 25% increase from its closing price on August 19.Why is Wall Street bullish on Eli Lilly?Eli Lilly markets several top-selling drugs, but all eyes are on their new blockbuster, tirzepatide. This drug is known under the brand names Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for weight management.The main competitor is semaglutide, sold by $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ under the names Ozempic and Rybelsus
BABA's Dual Primary Listing: Is a Buying Opportunity?
On August 23, $Alibaba(BABA)$$Alibaba(09988)$ announced that it will voluntarily change its secondary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) to a primary listing on August 28, 2024. Then, Alibaba will be dual-listed as a primary company on both HKEX and NYSE. The stock marker "S" will be removed from its stock short names for both HKD and RMB counters on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on the Effective Date.This voluntary switch to dual primary listing does not involve issuing new shares or raising new capital.On August 22, Alibaba’s shareholders approved the proposal for the primary listing in Hong Kong. Once Alibaba completes this transition and is included in the Stock Connect program, mainland
Since posting this original tweet: $Mueller(MLI)$ is up 52% $Cavco(CVCO)$ is up 19% $Progress(PRGS)$ is up 6% $UFP Industries(UFPI)$ is up 1%All appear to still be attractive compounders trading at attractive valuations.ImageImageImageImageEarly January this year:Here are four, under the radar, quality compounders.- Progress Software Corp.- Cavco Industries, Inc.- UFP Industries Inc.- Mueller Industries Inc.Are you invested?ImageImageImageImagePS - I’m still not sure that Mueller suit my investment criteria. It has quality financials, but very exposed to commodity prices I believehttps://x.com/long_equity/status/182703816
Two weeks ago I wrote about the growing number of private zombies. A common question I got after that post was “what should I do if I’m in that position?” A couple thoughts below. Most importantly - don’t wait. Don’t hope for things to improve. Hope is not a strategy. It’s a lottery ticket. I think there are 3 concrete things to do:Figure out if you’re a short / long term zombie: Turnarounds are hard, but they do happen. There may be some idiosyncratic reasons your market turned on you, but you expect it to turn back. There’s no need to panic at the “bottom,” but it’s also very important to be realistic about your chances of revivalGet closer with your existing investors. At some point you will want to raise more money. It may be a down round. Or you’re hoping to raise a flat round to “val
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - 1 Week After Jackson HoleBig moves in 2022 and 2023.As mentioned yesterday in the DXY chart, the market is expecting rate cuts.J Powell will provide direction in a couple of hours.ImageA bearish engulfing pattern has formed, with the 5-day moving average breached.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 's continued rise is another bearish factor. This volatility index has been steadily increasing since Tuesday.Nothing unexpected in terms of seasonality and the big event ahead.Remember my previous chart for DXY, it did bounce today, now it's the turn of Powell to seal the reversals.Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1826939910080647619
GMV stands for Gross Merchandise Value. It refers to the total value of merchandise sold through a marketplace during a specific time period.It represents the total sales generated by all transactions.GMV does not account for costs, returns, or cancellations, making it different from net revenue.It's a key performance indicator for e-commerce companies, reflecting growth and market demand.GMV growth projected is 12% for the big eComm five ✅📈. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Shopify(SHOP)$$Target(TGT)$$Wal-Mart(WMT)$$eBay(EBAY)$ Choose wisely if interested.Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/
Thursday printed a bearish engulfing candle, usually a scary candle for bulls, however price was far above the central S/R level, if you used the coordinates provided last Friday, you were confident that the main bearish validation was far from the decline.$222.8 for $Apple(AAPL)$ , $37.7 for $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ , $116.8 for $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , and $5480 for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ were levels that were not breached, and even $210.2 for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ acted as a bouncer.Equities also included: $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
Earlier this week, $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ -owned Waymo announced a custom-made robotaxi that’s already in testing and news was even bigger. $General Motors(GM)$ -owned Cruise announced a partnership with $Uber(UBER)$ , following a Waymo partnership that’s been rolling out in a few cities in the U.S. This puts Cruise on equal footing with Waymo in many ways and increases the distribution channel for autonomous driving technology.Uber Taps CruiseFrom the joint release from Cruise and Uber:Uber and Cruise, two companies revolutionizing transportation, today announced a multi-year strategic partnership to bring Cr
Weekly Macro Themes - Clear downside risk to the stock/bond ratio
This week I covered the following topics/ideas:1. US Dollar: Bearish USD given initial breakdown, shifting sentiment, expensive valuations, long-term cycles, waning yield support, debt and deficits, and prospective policy convergence.2. Stocks vs Bonds: Clear downside risk to the stock/bond ratio given absolute and relative valuations, shift in sentiment and technicals, and turn + divergences in key macro indicators. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$DJIA(.DJI)$
This is likely what’s causing $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ to fall today. Both companies are Chinese-owned, so don’t expect any sympathy favoring either one in US courts (if it gets to that). What seems clear is that Shein is really getting hurt by Temu’s surging popularity. I’m also wondering about the language of these accusations as if I’m reading a short-seller report. Just my personal opinion.And somehow $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$$BILIBILI-W(09626)$ manages to sell off every time it reports good earnings only to rally later on. I don’t believe in coincidences.Imagehttps://x.com/BrianTycangco/status/1826988318061678966
3.1% Dividend YieldMore than 500 brands globally, with 23 flagships earning more than $1 billion in revenue.Consumer staples giant, owning Quaker Foods, Frito-Lay, and Pepsi.Pepsi is trading at a discount compared to peers and its own historical valuation.Elevated capex for improving resilience in the supply chain and efficiency improvements.Expects long-term revenue growth between 4-6%, with high single digit earnings growth.Investment Thesis $Pepsi(PEP)$ is a diversified blue chip company providing beverages and snacks. PepsiCo operates in more than 200 territories and countries globally, with over 500 brands. The “flagship brands”, those that generate more than $1 billion in revenue, include 23 globally recognized names across both beverages and
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Neutral Despite of V Shaped RecoveryThe fear and greed index comprises seven elements: market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, market volatility, safe haven demand,junk bond demand.Of these, market volatility is currently neutral. As analyzed in the Weekly Compass, this is an element to monitor closely next week. Additionally, market breadth still has room for improvement despite the recent rally.Regarding the chart, the indicator is in neutral territory, a level that warrants attention as the price has recently experienced declines at this point if not crossed swiftly. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - Weekly Chart:Thus far, the bullish Stochastic crossover, initiated by a series of bullish candles, has been effective. Even the recent decline in volume is consistent with previous patterns.The latest candle can be considered also as part of the sequence, anticipating a consolidation.The difference today is that 10 weekly average is in resistance position, and in confluence with the 50 daily average (not in chart).$251 has to be conquered next week to prove there is continuation.If there is a pullback, the 20 weekly average at $240 is the first line of defense to manage risk. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$<
There are a few earnings reports each quarter that give a view of what the overall economic landscape looks like. This week, we heard from $Target(TGT)$ , rounding out this earnings season's most important retail reports. But first, it was another strong week on Wall Street, helped by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole, WY that indicated short-term rate cuts are coming soon. And the market loves lower rates.Is the Consumer All Right?Target’s earnings report showed a 2.0% increase in same-store sales and a 3% increase in traffic (customer spending less per visit). The result was revenue rising 2.6% to $25.0 billion. These weren’t great numbers, but Target has seen sales fall after a pandemic boom, so they were welcome by the market.Thi
Fuelled by the explosive growth of emerging markets such as artificial intelligence and electric vehicles, the semiconductor industry which produces the vital components that power these technologies is poised to grow into a massive trillion-dollar industry by 2030. NVIDIA Companies are pouring tens of billions of dollars into building out AI infrastructure and services, making the beneficiaries notably Nvidia close to a sure thing in terms of their growth prospects. The chipmaker's results next week will provide further clarity on AI demand, and could vault the shares back into record territory. Nvidia daily chart As shown in the chart above, NVIDIA share price retraced continuously for weeks since mid June. In early August, when the market crashed, Nvidia seems to find its support at EMA
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ This one is simple for me. Don’t try to overcomplicate your charts or trading. Tesla is rejecting it’s falling resistance from July 23 after the false breakout with earnings and robotaxi delay. Now it has come up and rejected its .5 fib and resistance trend. Bottom line, overall TSLA is in bearish territory below 250 on the macro chart. Lower time frame is building out a potential inverse head and shoulder look. Can see it better with extended hours on. Hopefully can be getting over 250 soon and is an obvious contender if rate cuts start coming to fruition. Would personally love a test and hold of 200 (maybe a sweep lower) to feel good about some long term shares and options.