As expected from last week’s outlook, after silver posted its first “top-and-drop” move, silver futures have staged another sharp rebound exactly one week later. As discussed previously, silver rarely tops out with a clean inverted-V reversal based on its historical price behavior; more commonly, it forms a second rebound on the weekly chart and only then peaks again and rolls over, and that second rebound often appears about one week after the first peak-and-selloff.Review: Can the trading distribution of silver futures options “leak” the future path for silver?$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $微白银主连 2603(SILmain)$

After the policy outcomes from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan were released, the market’s largest near-term risk window has largely passed.​Based on how price action has responded so far, the Santa rally has very likely begun; historically, it typically runs from late December into early January, and U.S. equities have a high probability of grinding higher with choppy gains during this period.​What’s more, while mega-cap tech looks expensive, the overall valuation of the equal-weight S&P 500 is not particularly stretched, so over the coming week it may be worth considering a strategy of selling weekly put options on Nasdaq futures with strikes below the 20-week moving average.​At the same time, it also makes sense to prepare in advance for a potential explosive move in commo

$Southern Copper Corp(SCCO)$ $Copper - main 2512(HGmain)$ $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ 🔥📈⚒️ Copper Shockwave: $SCCO Rockets as $FCX Craters ⚒️📈🔥 I’m calling it straight: today’s copper surge isn’t just noise, it’s a structural shock that re-prices leadership in the sector. $SCCO blasting +8.84% to $120.01 while $FCX collapsed -10% on Grasberg’s force majeure is the clearest rotation we’ve seen all year. This isn’t a hedge fund shuffle; it’s the market rewriting who the winners are in global copper. 🥇 Q2 2025 Copper Production League Table 🏆 Top 3 Leaders 🔵 $BHP: 516,200t (stability from scale) 🔴 $FCX: 436,809t (risk flagged with Grasberg halt) 🔵 Codelco: 365,000

$Copper - main 2509(HGmain)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Copper, long dubbed the lifeblood of modern economies, is suddenly grabbing headlines again. After years of steady but muted trading, copper futures have staged a powerful breakout in 2025 — propelled by a combustible mix of rising demand, tightening supply, and a dramatic policy twist: a proposed 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States announced by former President Trump on the campaign trail. This policy shock has jolted the market and left investors, manufacturers, and electric vehicle makers scrambling to assess the implications. Could this mark the beginning of a sustained supercycle in copper? Or is it simply a speculative spike doome

Q1 Global Assets Recap1. Click to see the Chart 1: Q1 2025 Global Asset Highlights[Allin] The first quarter of 2025 has already passed, and the performance of global major asset classes has shown a diversified trend.The three major U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in the first quarter, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ down 4.59%, the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ down 1.28%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ down 10.42%.Meanwhile, Hong Kong stocks performed well, driven by China's artificial intelligence industry. The $HSI(HSI)$ and the $HSTE

In January and February 2025, copper prices both domestically and internationally have shown signs of strengthening. This trend is driven by two key factors: expectations of copper supply shortages and a recovery in copper demand, both domestically and abroad. Reflecting on the surge in copper prices from February to May 2024, it was primarily fueled by market optimism about increased copper consumption due to advancements in artificial intelligence (AI). However, weaker-than-expected domestic copper consumption subsequently limited the price rally.Looking ahead, we anticipate a renewed upward trend in copper prices. The primary drivers include a tightening copper supply worldwide, which has led to negative spot market treatment and refining charges (TC/RC) for copper concentrates. Additio

U.S. bond yields rose further last week, putting gold under pressure, but the long-term narrative has not changed. As far as copper is concerned, the performance of copper prices in the past two weeks has been extremely calm and in a state of volatility convergence, just as all kinds of assets have amplified fluctuations due to Trump's coming to power, thus pricing in advance the possibility after he took office. CORE POINTS1. Copper prices continued to fluctuate last week, and gold fell back after hitting a new highIn terms of precious metals, COMEX gold fell 0.55% and silver fell 5.22% last week; The Shanghai Gold 2410 contract fell 0.46%, and the Shanghai Silver 2410 contract fell 5.12%. Among the prices of major industrial metals, COMEX copper and Shanghai copper changed by-7.53% and-3

Last week, the Federal Reserve opened a new rate-cutting cycle with an "unconventional" 50 basis points, marking the official end of tightening since early 2022.The background and implications of this decision are worth exploring in depth. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Extent and path of the rate cutThe Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut is intended to be a quick response to potential economic growth pressures. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Although the market is generally positive about the rate cut, but there are also concerns about recession.Powell emphasized in this context, there is no obvious signs of recession, and the future path of interest rate cuts will be more gentle.According to the Fed's "dot plo