To The Moon

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 13May24 1D chart for S&P500 dated 11 May 2024 (SGT) Observations: The MACD indicator is on an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. Using a daily interval chart, Investing is recommending a “Strong Buy

I agree with my American friend. He mentioned that there is a forming of a double top. Would we see some corrections in the coming days? Will the run continue with minor bumps?  $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24 The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. The 3 EMA lines are turning sideways and there could be ranging or reversal. For the reversal to be confirmed, the 3 EMA lines ne

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Tdlr; I'm leaning towards Bullish > Bearish Bullish: Likely to range bound between 500 - 504, with intermediate pivot zone at 502.  -> 500 -> 502 -> 504 Bearish: Will target 497, if price breaks below 500.  -> 497 GEX levels for SPY - 5/2 expiration VEX levels for SPY - 5/2 These levels tend to change as the day progresses, so the best approach is to track the 0DTE GEX changes throughout the day to scalp. Will talk about this in a later article.  Trade safe, friends![Cool]  

With FOMC coming up, we are not seeing a lot of conviction in either directions! Here's a rough cheatsheet, and what u typically monitor for. In general, we are watching out for: - Positive GEX: "Price retardants"  - Negative GEX: "Price accelerants" - Positive VANNA: "Price magnets" - Negative VANNA: "Price repellants" So price levels with highly positive GEX and negative VANNA form zones of resistance/dupport.  GEX levels for SPY - exporation 1/5 Vanna levels for SPY - today's expiration Tdlr 505 - Massive resistance. I don't hold much hope that price will break above this level. But if it does, 505 -> 508 491 - If price trends down, there is a massive "ghost zone" all the way down to 491. So will watch for massive price drop down there.  495 - this will likely be the a

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. St

The market experienced a tech-driven bounce, but the $DJIA(.DJI)$ remains weak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed the week with a rejection at $5,110 and the 20-day moving average.The previous SPX post shows those lines, if these resistance levels for the #SP500 hold true, it might indicate the beginning of a second leg down.This chart highlights in blue arrows the initial bounce. The green arrows point to the actual market bottom.The Question: December 2022 Redux or August 2023 Repeat?The key question is whether this situation will unfold similarly to August 2023, where a bounce preceded a deeper decline, or if it will resemble December 2022, where the bounce marked a more sustained recovery.Both cases befo

WARNING! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective ABC up structure to validate completion of the B-Wave.If price trades below 5050, that would confirm completion of B-Wave rally.If so, that should lead to 5015 in the short term, but ultimately 4820-4800 for [W4]ImageHere are my previous predictions:Further rally for the B-Wave is expected as SPX likely terminated its short-term correction at today's 4990 low.Therefore, price should begin the final corrective leg up targeting 5110-5130-5150.Loss of 4953 would favor the C-Wave already beginning, however, targeting that 4820 [W4] termination range.ImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status

Kimly was top picked in food service sector in SGX by RHB on 24/04/2024. Coffee shop was more defensive than fast food restaurant. CDC voucher will benefit the coffee shop. Kimly halal food was expanding.  $Kimly(1D0.SI)$  PE 10, dividend 6%, good price.

[Smart]Hello fellow investors,I hope this message finds you well amidst the dynamic shifts in the market.By Founder & CEO Ciovacco Capital Management.ImageAs of the snapshot from Chris Ciovacco, the founder of Ciovacco Capital shared on X platform”$VIX top panel. S&P 500 bottom panel. $SPX”The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, often referred to as the "fear index," is sitting at a level of 16.94.The chart shows that whenever the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ primary MA moves, it will pull back, which happens to be a signal for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index to rebound.Do you think that with the rebound in semiconductor stocks on Monday, do you think that the stan

After a 10% decline in $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and 5% in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the market will?Vote please.Let’s keep this one simple; we have a quick 10% decline that’s nothing to sneeze at, also I thrown a piece of data I shared from another chart which is 75% of Nasdaq stocks are above their respective 50MA’s wish coincides generally with washout signals. MACD is at a former area of support.This decline terminated right at the previous S/R flip area (support/resistance), and stock market 101 is former resistance being turned to support- the Q’s have a chance do that technical support off of that TA level by using fundamentals from earnings to turn that into said support to launch from.One other additive I thr

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! I will stand by this statement, "We are in a bull market and we are currently seeing a short term correction. Fear is a buy" • RSI falling under 50 and Bears keeping the bear gap open for over the week, both cues worked out perfectly to judge the weekly break down on SPX • Looking at the RSI we are definitely at an over sold level, but it is not a cue to buy the dip for short term trading. • Long term strategy remains on elevated $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (CSPs) • MACD and RSI currently are in full control of the bears.• This market leaders are Semis, and when the leaders are selling the sentiment in the market cannot stay opposite. • I understand everyone is looking for tha

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ decreased 3.1% last week, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ plummeted 5.5%, causing market attention. TMaybe it’s not a bad thing to fall at this position. It can not only digest its overly strong expectations, but also help to restart the interest rate cut trade.Liquidity IssuesThe turning point of financial liquidity in the second quarter will put pressure on U.S. stocks.The difference between the Federal Reserve's balance sheet rule - TGA account - reverse repos is used to measure liquidity within the financial system, which is approximately equal to the scale of reserves in the commercial banking system. Recent changes are that the Fed's monthly balance sheet reduction is still ongoing, but the tax

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: I like to think that the most effective corrections often involve a phase where the majority of participants are convinced it has reached its conclusion. In the short term (1 - 2 weeks) a relief rally that progresses towards the range of 5050 - 5150 would have this effect.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/tomthetrader1

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the volume trend seems to be changing direction. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration

Given the current market environment, including the ongoing conflict and concerns about potential retaliation from Israel, the S&P 500 could face significant volatility in the short term. The market selloff was also influenced by expectations of interest rate hikes, adding to the bearish sentiment. Monitoring developments closely and staying adaptable to changing conditions will be key for investors. @TigerGPT how do you think about the movement for S&P 500?

Keep shorting the market when fear is at the max I have been buying puts on S&P. All my puts are giving me gains but calls are taking away my money.  I will keep buying puts till the market turned against me.  It is fine to be wrong in the direction you are aiming for. Just quickly liquidate and run away. Find the next moves will do

- Markets lost the 50 DAY MA this week - VIX reversing upward - US OIL hit a 6 month high this week - GOLD & SILVER have moved parabolic - MEGA Caps are starting to decline - US 10 YR exploded higher this week - Israel V Iran - Russia V Ukraine - Inflation coming in hot - Nikki plunges -3% - Bitcoin halving event tomorrow - Earnings season has just started All of this happened at the start of Q2 and we are only 18 days in. $SPY $QQQ $BTC

More than half of the 224 global asset managers surveyed by BofA expect a "soft landing" over the next 12 months. This is down by 15% from January when 71% of fund managers projected a soft landing. Now, more than a third of global asset managers anticipate a hard landing. As higher for longer returns, the risk of entering a recession appears to be growing. The market is currently pricing less than 2 Fed rate cuts in 2024, down from 7 in December. Soft landing expectations are quickly disappearing.

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 13May24 1D chart for S&P500 dated 11 May 2024 (SGT) Observations: The MACD indicator is on an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. Using a daily interval chart, Investing is recommending a “Strong Buy

I agree with my American friend. He mentioned that there is a forming of a double top. Would we see some corrections in the coming days? Will the run continue with minor bumps?  $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24 The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. The 3 EMA lines are turning sideways and there could be ranging or reversal. For the reversal to be confirmed, the 3 EMA lines ne

Six Too-Big-To-Fail US banks have all released Q1 2024 financial reports.With the macro still tight, but economic activity strong, all of them beat without surprise, business department in divergence.Interest margin keeps narrowing but improved, the interest income has noticeably dropped, but the overall market expectation is not high. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo's partial interest income did not meet expectations, and the market had already priced this in.CPI strong, short-term interest rate cut expectations fell, and it is still difficult to see growth in the interest margin.Investment banking business as a whole is recovering, among which the growth of fixed-income underwriting business is the most noticeable. Wealth management business is growing steadily overall, and active market tradin

Iran and Israel conflict It started with the “arrest” of MSC Aries at the Straits of Hormuz. BREAKING: IRAN BANS ALL SHIPS LINKED TO ISRAEL “Starting today, all vessels linked to the Zionist regime are banned from operating in the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf.Any such vessels found in these waters will be confiscated.” This thread means that all Israeli-linked vessels would not be able to travel past the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf. This would be taken seriously by the shipping industry, causing further disruptions to the regional supply chain. Vessels will be forced to divert, leading to an increase in supply chain lead time and cost. Missiles and Drones were launched The screenshot was taken from the NBC news report. Iran launched its retaliation after Israel bombed its embassy in

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ decreased 3.1% last week, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ plummeted 5.5%, causing market attention. TMaybe it’s not a bad thing to fall at this position. It can not only digest its overly strong expectations, but also help to restart the interest rate cut trade.Liquidity IssuesThe turning point of financial liquidity in the second quarter will put pressure on U.S. stocks.The difference between the Federal Reserve's balance sheet rule - TGA account - reverse repos is used to measure liquidity within the financial system, which is approximately equal to the scale of reserves in the commercial banking system. Recent changes are that the Fed's monthly balance sheet reduction is still ongoing, but the tax

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the volume trend seems to be changing direction. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. St

Yesterday saw a continuation of the reevaluation of interest-rate expectations for 2024, driven by comments from Federal Reserve officials and market reactions to economic data. Here's a breakdown of the key events and market movements: DJIA: +0.17% to 37,798.97 ; $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.21% to 5,051.41 ; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.12% to 15,865.25 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Stocks Interest Rate Expectations Fed Remarks: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need for greater confidence in sustained inflation decli

The market experienced a tech-driven bounce, but the $DJIA(.DJI)$ remains weak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed the week with a rejection at $5,110 and the 20-day moving average.The previous SPX post shows those lines, if these resistance levels for the #SP500 hold true, it might indicate the beginning of a second leg down.This chart highlights in blue arrows the initial bounce. The green arrows point to the actual market bottom.The Question: December 2022 Redux or August 2023 Repeat?The key question is whether this situation will unfold similarly to August 2023, where a bounce preceded a deeper decline, or if it will resemble December 2022, where the bounce marked a more sustained recovery.Both cases befo

With FOMC coming up, we are not seeing a lot of conviction in either directions! Here's a rough cheatsheet, and what u typically monitor for. In general, we are watching out for: - Positive GEX: "Price retardants"  - Negative GEX: "Price accelerants" - Positive VANNA: "Price magnets" - Negative VANNA: "Price repellants" So price levels with highly positive GEX and negative VANNA form zones of resistance/dupport.  GEX levels for SPY - exporation 1/5 Vanna levels for SPY - today's expiration Tdlr 505 - Massive resistance. I don't hold much hope that price will break above this level. But if it does, 505 -> 508 491 - If price trends down, there is a massive "ghost zone" all the way down to 491. So will watch for massive price drop down there.  495 - this will likely be the a

Buckle up folks, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is finally experiencing a pullback! After a stellar run so far in 2024, the index is seeing some long-awaited correction. For some investors, this pullback might be a chance to jump in and buy at a discount. Historically, pullbacks are often seen as opportunities to snag stocks at reduced prices. For others, it might be a wake-up call to rebalance their portfolios. If your holdings have become too heavily weighted in stocks, a pullback can be a good time to trim positions or diversify further. Let's not sugarcoat it - a pullback can also signal a shift in the market sentiment. Investors should stay informed about any underlying factors causing the dip. The market is reacting to Iran’s attack on Israel by se

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! I will stand by this statement, "We are in a bull market and we are currently seeing a short term correction. Fear is a buy" • RSI falling under 50 and Bears keeping the bear gap open for over the week, both cues worked out perfectly to judge the weekly break down on SPX • Looking at the RSI we are definitely at an over sold level, but it is not a cue to buy the dip for short term trading. • Long term strategy remains on elevated $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (CSPs) • MACD and RSI currently are in full control of the bears.• This market leaders are Semis, and when the leaders are selling the sentiment in the market cannot stay opposite. • I understand everyone is looking for tha

Tdlr; I'm leaning towards Bullish > Bearish Bullish: Likely to range bound between 500 - 504, with intermediate pivot zone at 502.  -> 500 -> 502 -> 504 Bearish: Will target 497, if price breaks below 500.  -> 497 GEX levels for SPY - 5/2 expiration VEX levels for SPY - 5/2 These levels tend to change as the day progresses, so the best approach is to track the 0DTE GEX changes throughout the day to scalp. Will talk about this in a later article.  Trade safe, friends![Cool]  

On Monday, all three major US stock indices gave up their intraday gains and closed in the red. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 1.2% and below 5,100 points, marking a 2.6% decline over two trading sessions - the steepest drop in more than a year.Additionally, the $DJIA(.DJI)$ dipped 0.7%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ tumbled 1.8%, with large-cap tech stocks taking the lead in the sell-off. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ were among the top losers in the interest rate-sensitive tech sector.Almost all the stocks in the

2."Is US Inflation Making a Comeback?"Certainly, the biggest variable regarding interest rate cuts is inflation. This year's inflation data has put the Federal Reserve in a somewhat awkward position. Firstly, energy prices have been steadily rising. Crude oil prices have reached $86, noticeably impacting Americans at the gas station.Gold prices have recently surged, breaking the $2300 mark and hitting historic highs, signaling market expectations of further inflation. While the Fed may attribute the rise in oil prices to Middle East tensions, financial markets find this hard to accept. Looking at the real estate market, the overall US housing market price index has risen by about 4% this year, and rents have increased. Consequently, the equivalent rent weight within the CPI is bound to con

With the rise in risk sentiment, the market's heavyweight stocks have also begun to pull back. Although the performance of the seven tech giants this week has not been too different (except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ), investors have significantly different expectations.Among them, the IVs of $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ have reached a historical high for the past year, which means that investors expect a large volatility to occur next (usually negative).And the tech giants' earnings reports are in two weeks. Theoretically, the IV level is quite high, but reaching the historical highest level directly indicates that the volatility expected by investors may n

The "Fear and Greed" index has once again fallen back into the "Fear" rangeOrdinary investors may easily overlook the options of $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , reflecting the volatility of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . It is a cost-effective "hedge" underlying.Remember the following points:- Index option trades are all cash settled, so there is no "stock acceptance" situation in Sell PUT trades.- VIX is the market's expectation of **future** volatility within 30 days, not a measure of current or past volatility.- VIX options have a "Rule Of 16", precisely 15.87, which is the square root of 252 (the number of trading days in a year). If VIX is at 16, SPX is expected to fluctuate 1% daily; if VIX is 24, daily fluctu

WARNING! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective ABC up structure to validate completion of the B-Wave.If price trades below 5050, that would confirm completion of B-Wave rally.If so, that should lead to 5015 in the short term, but ultimately 4820-4800 for [W4]ImageHere are my previous predictions:Further rally for the B-Wave is expected as SPX likely terminated its short-term correction at today's 4990 low.Therefore, price should begin the final corrective leg up targeting 5110-5130-5150.Loss of 4953 would favor the C-Wave already beginning, however, targeting that 4820 [W4] termination range.ImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status

Find out more here:An Invitation Letter from Tiger Brokers I have won a lot of awards in Tiger Brokers, come and see what rewards you have!