To The Moon

There is no doubt that all eyes will be on $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ from Mon, 03 Nov 2025 onwards.

This is because PLTR will be reporting its highly anticipated Q3 2025 earnings after market close.

Below is what Wall Street analysts are expecting.

Q3 2025 Estimates.

• Revenue: $1.092 billion expected vs Q3 2024’s $0.726 billion. That’s a +50.4% YoY gain. (see below)

• Earnings per share: $0.17 expected vs Q3 2024’s $0.10. That’s a +70% YoY gain. (see below)

• Operating income (adjusted) : $501 million expected vs Q3 2024’s $276 million. That’s a +81.52% YoY gain.

• Operating margin: 43.5% expected vs Q3 2024’s 38%.

Estimates Drill Downs.

Apart from the top and bottom lines, Wall Street will also be interested to know whether PLTR has been making ‘progress’ in the commercial sector business.

• Government revenue: $602 million estimated vs Q3 2024’s $320 million; that’s a +88.13% YoY gain.

• Commercial revenue: $493.7 million estimated vs Q3 2024’s $179 million; that’s +175.81% YoY gain.

Looking at analysts’ forecasted estimates, it is definitely a beautiful picture to behold.

However, when it comes to PLTR’s valuation, concerns remain.

Valuation.

The one thing that most analysts have been critical about PLTR has been its valuation.

PLTR’s latest :

• Forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 231x.

• Forward price-to-sales (P/S) reaches 83x.

Compared to Peers. (see below)

PLTR’s metrics dwarf other US software company valuations.

Statistically, it would take Palantir at least 4 consecutive years of 50% revenue growth for P/S ratio to revert to levels where mega-cap technology companies typically trade.

A tall order even for a fast growing company like PLTR.

Even so, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang recently called PLTR the most technically deep enterprise platform company in the world, a comment that may reinforce investor confidence.

Objectively speaking, I wonder if NVDA’s CEO ‘favourable’ comments have anything to do with its recent partnership with PLTR. (see above)

NVDA will join hands with PLTR to build an integrated technology stack for operational AI, combining PLTR's AI-based decision-intelligence platform (Ontology) with NVDA's accelerated computing, software libraries, and open models.

Did Jensen Huang make the comments to ensure partnership’s success and further seal its position in the AI ecosystem ? Guess we will never know or will we ?

Technical Analysis.

If PLTR’s Q3 earnings meet or better - analysts’ forecast, is there sufficient juice to power its stock price higher than Friday’s $200.47 closing price ?

Let’s see what the typical technical analysis tells us ?

(1) Moving Averages.

PLTR’s moving averages for 20-day, 50-day and 200-day are $182.40, $173.90 & $131.83 respectively.

This specific alignment is a classic & powerful signal of a strong, established uptrend.

• Short-Term (20-Day): With the price well above the 20-day average, it shows strong positive short-term momentum.

• Mid-Term (50-Day): The price being above the 50-day average confirms a healthy bullish trend over the medium term.  

• Long-Term (200-Day): The price trading far above the 200-day average indicates a robust, long-term uptrend.

(2) Relative Strength Index (RSI).

PLTR’s 14-Day RSI of 67.31 places PLTR in the upper-neutral/bullish momentum zone, just below the traditional overbought threshold.

(3) Support , Pivot and Resistance Levels.

• 1st Support Level (S1) $197.53 - Key short-term support.

• 2nd Support Level (S2) $194.60 - Next level of potential buying interest.

• 3rd Support Level (S3) $191.27 - Stronger technical support.

• Pivot Point $200.86 - Level where momentum might shift (above is generally bullish, below is bearish).

• 1st Resistance Point (R1) $203.79 - Key short-term hurdle.

• 2nd Resistance Point (R2) $207.12 - Intermediate upside target.

• 3rd Resistance Point (R3) $210.05 - Higher target based on technical calculation.

Other Concerns.

I am quietly confident that PLTR’s Q3 2025 earnings will meet or exceed analysts’ consensus.

The market feels so too and is already looking forward at PLTR’s Q4 2025 earnings instead and there is growing concern that Trump government shutdown, extending into its fifth week, may delay approvals of new contracts or extensions of existing ones.

Any material impact on government revenue growth could weigh heavily on PLTR’s Q4 earnings.

After all, US government revenue accounts for close to 80% of total government revenue, creating concentration risk for PLTR as a result.

Personally, is this too-early a concern to anticipate ? Shouldn’t we react only when we get to the bridge and celebrate PLTR’s stellar earnings first? They deserve to bask in the limelight !

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• Do you think PLTR’s Q3 earnings will be better than Q2 2025 & Q3 2024 ?

• Do you think US government shutdown will affect PLTR’s Q4 2025 earnings ?

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