🌟🌟🌟Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ $Alibaba HK SDR 5to1(HBBD.SI)$ has just released its September Quarter 2024 results on Friday which was mixed, sending its shares down by 2.1%. Alibaba posted adjusted earnings per share of RMB 15.06 (USD 2.15) which beat analysts expectations of RMB 14.79 but falling 4% year over year. Revenue was RMB 236.5 billion (USD 33.7 billion) , up 5% year over year but slightly below Analysts expectations of RMB 239.97 billion. Alibaba's core China commerce retail business saw customer management revenue increase 2% year over yea
Why do Trump-era tariffs pose a greater threat to China’s economy now?
China's Blue-Chip Stocks Offer Attractive Valuations: Buy Baba, JD, Tencent, Ping An, and BOC? China is already grappling with significant domestic challenges: a local debt crisis and a property market in turmoil. However, the looming impact of heightened tariffs presents an even graver concern. While many investors remain optimistic about Chinese stocks—betting on a "bazooka" stimulus from Beijing to revitalize the economy—it’s vital to consider the broader risks, particularly political ones. Stocks like Alibaba and JD have reported solid profits with low price-to-earnings ratios, and major Chinese banks such as Bank of China and Ping An Bank offer appealing dividends and seem fundamentally robust. However, this perspective often overlooks the risks posed by geopolitical tensions and
Why MARA’s Recent Sell-Off May Signal a Buying Opportunity
I’ve been tracking $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ closely, and despite the initial sell-off following its wider-than-expected third-quarter loss, I believe there’s a compelling case for a potential reversal. The stock’s post-election rally faced a strong pullback after the earnings report missed expectations, but a closer look at the candlestick patterns and the overall market context suggests we could be witnessing a bottoming process. Let’s start with the facts. MARA’s third-quarter earnings report showed revenue of $131.6 million, an increase from $97.8 million in the same period last year. However, it fell short of the $146.7 million consensus estimate. The company also posted a net loss of $124.8 million, significantly wider than the $
SGX Weekly Review|SingTel Sees Improved Full-Year Growth; Frasers Sees Earnings Jump
Singapore shares inched 0.55% higher this week as Fed signals slower pace of rate cuts. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday the central bank did not need to rush to lower interest rates due to ongoing economic growth, a solid job market and inflation that remains above its 2% target.In terms of star stocks, Riverstone jumped 10.99%; Frasers Property gained 3.37%.Market NewsSingTel sees improved full-year growth as half-year profit risesSingapore Telecommunications posted a 6% rise in underlying net profit for the half-year and gave improved guidance for the full year on Wednesday, underpinned by strength at its Australia unit Optus and technology services business NCS.Southeast Asia's largest telecoms provider also said it expects its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to grow at
Rolling Calls 7 Times in 2 Months, Learning from Billion-Dollar Whales to Lock in Upside Profits
On November 12th, two large bullish option trades printed in $Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)$ - buying the February 21st $230 calls for $221 million, and the February 21st $320 calls for $111 million. Upon verification, these were part of a combined roll, with the actual activity being:Close (Sell-to-Open) $COIN 20250221 230.0 CALL$ Roll (Buy-to-Open) $COIN 20250221 320.0 CALL$ Tracing back their rolling history, shockingly this firm has rolled their COIN calls 7 times in under 2 months. Let's review these 7 rolls, using it as an opportunity to explain three frequently asked questions:What is a roll?Identifying
On Thu, 14 Nov 2024 US market continued to head south amid US economic reports released over the past 2 days. Although looking superficial, the data nonetheless, has traders worried. By the time 4:00pm came around: (see above) DJIA: -0.47% (-207.33 to 43,750.86). S&P 500: -0.60% (-36.21 to 5,949.17). Nasdaq: -0.64% (-123.07 to 19,107.65). In fact, US market has been falling steadily since Mon, 11 Nov 2024. Looks like, the post presidential election ‘euphoria’ has dissipated, and US economic reality have taken over. It does not help too that incoming president trump, has been updating his lineup of staffers, making up the next administration, each a hardliner. This has sent chills down the spine of the US market, with many predicting the next 4 years, will be a painful one. Fortunately
Strong Pullback for Better Entries:BTC, MSTR, MARA, COIN
Strong pullback over the last couple sessions, but this was due for some short term mean reversion. Below are some of my observations.Current $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ setup I'm watching on the 2 hr chart today, currently sitting just under this downtrend resistanceMichael Saylor tells CNBC $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ may raise $42 billion to buy #Bitcoin "much before" their original plan of 2-3 years $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ also have confidence of holding $Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$ Image$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ this is shaping up to be a beautiful retest
2024 13F: How Do Institutions Change Their Portfolio?
Buffett bought in $Domino's Pizza(DPZ)$ and swimming pool supplies distributor $Pool(POOL)$ in Q3;Both JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock increased their holdings in $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ ;Despite significant reductions by Buffett, Apple remains a major holding for many institutions.
💰3 Stocks to Have an Edge on Streaming:DIS, NFLX, SPOT
US stocks closed lower, as the macro outlook remains unclear for the time being.Yet things look different in streaming: Inflation takes Disney/Netflix/Spotify up, for the time being.Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!Market recapThe $.SPX(.SPX)$ slumped 0.6% in its biggest loss so far this month, with widespread declines, while the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ gave back 0.7%. Energy( $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ )was the lone S&P 500 sector ETF to go positive on the day. Industrials( $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI)$ ), health care(), and consumer discretionary were the worst performing, eac
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
This week, the Hong Kong stock market had a rough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling for the fourth consecutive day, down by 6.28%. The index has broken out of its sideways range since October.Domestic News Last Friday after the market closed, China announced a fiscal stimulus plan, with 6 trillion yuan in new funds for debt reduction. However, there was no mention of any policy support for the real estate or consumption sectors.On Wednesday, the Ministry of Finance rolled out a "big gift" with tax cuts, including reduced deed tax, land value-added tax, and VAT. For example, the deed tax for the purchase of a family's first or second home (under 140 square meters) has been cut to 1%, down from 1-1.5% for regular homes and 3% for non-standard homes.O
Pay For Content or Experience? Would You Go to Disneyland?
Are you captivated by Disney's magic world? $Walt Disney(DIS)$ When it comes to Disney, we all grew up watching many classic Disney fairy tales, and were dreaming about going to Disneyland. These two businesses, content and theme parks, are also key segments of Disney's revenue.Movies turn to profit, while theme park lags behind.In $Walt Disney(DIS)$ latest earnings report, hits like Soul 2 and Deadpool with Wolverine drove the film division from a $149 million loss last year to a $316 million profit.However, Q4 theme park revenue grew just 1% year-over-year to $8.24 billion, while operating profit declined 6% to $1.7 billion. In fact, management had warned in the previous quarter about a slowdown in the th
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 📈 $SPY RETESTING! • SPY is retesting an important trend line and we also have a bull gap right under. • If we gap down under the bull gap that is open there is a high change we will see a steeper pull back into the end of the year. • This is a scenario to have in the back of your mind and is important where every bull gap will act as support as we drop lower but creating an island top I believe we can see 570s before higher. • Bulls need to break 600 or chop continues. OPEX Friday. Good luck everyone!
Total Energies Has Strong Free Cash Backed By High Yielding Growth Profile
5.3% Dividend Yield with 5% dividend growth.Strong long-term production profile, expecting a 4% CAGR output increase to 2030 with breakeven below $30/boe (barrel of oil equivalent).Long-term focus on LNGs (Liquified Natural Gas), expecting to grow export capacity by more than 50% by 2030, with 6 Mt/y (million tons per year) in long-term supply contracts signed with Asian importers.Trades at an attractive valuation at just 7.8x earnings.Committed to $2 billion in buybacks each quarter of 2025.Investment Thesis $Total SA(TTE)$ is a French energy company specializing in petroleum extracting and refining. TTE is the third largest non-OPEC producer in the world, producing 1.6 mmbbl/d of liquids (million barrels per day) and more than 5 bcf/d (billion cu
ASTS’s recent surge does not yet indicate a shift to a Bullish zone
$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ 📉 Long-Term StrategyASTS is currently in a Bearish trend zone, where a Sell and Observe position is suggested. Key factors include:Trend Breakdown:Downtrend: Consistent downward movement with brief upward spikes.Rebound Trend: Limited upward moves within an overall decline.Investment Position:In the Bearish zone, strong selling pressure often prevails, potentially leading to further price declines.A medium- to long-term position benefits from observing market conditions after selling, with a future Buy decision recommended if a shift to a Bullish zone occurs.Position Status:Entry Price: 25.1 (Oct 24, 2024)Current Price: 27.9Difference: +2.8 (11.2% gain in 14 days)📈 Short-Term StrategyDespite currently being Bearish, A
$.SPX(.SPX)$ continues to fade exactly as predicted! A bearish 5-wave structure has formed, thus the next corrective rally is shaping up to be yet another selling opportunity—fueling the larger, more powerful decline ahead.As long as we stay below 6017, expect every bounce to get sold off, driving us down to the Weekly FVG zone at 5700-5630. A break below 5885 would confirm that Wave C of [W5] of Wave 5 is complete, setting the stage for an even deeper decline. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
1.Country/Region Returns(n.b. color coding is the ranking within year, so the best country within the year might be negative e.g. compare and contrast 2008 vs 2009)Goes to show the sometimes massive opportunities (and risks!) in country/region allocations:Image2.Longer life spans and one heck of a bull markets have seen the over 70yrs cohort compound their way to the largest share of equity holdings by ageMeanwhile the 40-54yr group is in the sour spot (I have some guesses as to why... being a member of that group myself!)Image