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For Nasdaq to Keep Going Up, Would You Do These “Daily Rituals”?

Looking at the recent Nasdaq chart, my heart is beating even faster than $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ price. Sure, we might just be a tiny fraction of that trillion-dollar market cap, but the ritual still matters. To protect everyone’s portfolios, I stayed up all night compiling the “Nasdaq Believers’ Code of Conduct”: Pray for world peace (because markets hate instability). Drink $Starbucks(SBUX)$: one Americano at a time, injecting “liquidity” into the Nasdaq. ☕️ Rename your cat “ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$”: feed it the best canned food every day—call it “fueling the compute power.” Go full $Apple(AAPL)$ ecosystem: from iPhone
For Nasdaq to Keep Going Up, Would You Do These “Daily Rituals”?

Oil vs Gold After Iran: One Was Pressured, One Was Bullish

The much-watched Iran situation officially entered a new phase last weekend. A U.S.–Iran “hidden move” style decapitation operation quickly carried out targeted killings of Khamenei and several senior Iranian officials. Markets reacted in the usual way: gold and crude oil jumped, while stock index futures opened lower. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$ $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$ After this knee-jerk reaction, the real question is bigger. Is the Middle East—always unstable—just going through another short shock? Or are we about to see a lon
Oil vs Gold After Iran: One Was Pressured, One Was Bullish

US Dollar Rebound Unlikely to Last: Awaiting the Next Shorting Opportunity

The US dollar experienced a rebound last week, prompting us to temporarily exit our previous long positions in the Euro. However, the fundamental factors underlying the dollar have not undergone any substantial changes. Therefore, we expect the magnitude and momentum of this rebound to be limited. We will closely monitor developments this week; if price action is favorable, we may once again seek suitable non-US currencies to go long. Analyzing the weekly chart of the dollar over the past few weeks reveals signs of a pause in its downward trend. Furthermore, last week's weekly closing price returned above a crucial new long-term trendline, indicating that range-bound consolidation and volatility are likely to unfold in the near term. As long as there is no bearish engulfing pattern this we
US Dollar Rebound Unlikely to Last: Awaiting the Next Shorting Opportunity

Tariff Hikes—Risk Ahead? One Strategy for Navigating a Volatile Market

On Friday night, the U.S. Supreme Court voted 6–3 to overturn President Donald Trump’s broad-based tariff policy, ruling that it exceeded presidential authority. Because the decision had been widely anticipated, the market reaction was relatively muted, and U.S. equity indices even rebounded. However, Trump quickly voiced his dissatisfaction and announced a 15% global tariff (up from 10%) while launching a new investigation, stating, “We will be able to levy tariffs—more tariffs.” Since the additional tariff measures were announced over the weekend, Monday becomes the first real test of how sensitive the market is to this news. Overall, the tariff hike is a modest negative for U.S. equity indices, but for gold and silver it may serve as a catalyst for a renewed upswing. Will higher tariffs
Tariff Hikes—Risk Ahead? One Strategy for Navigating a Volatile Market

Topping Risk Persists in U.S. Stocks: Consider Gold and VIX on Pullbacks?

Ahead of the holiday, I told everyone to temporarily consider taking profits on bullish positions in the U.S. equity market, and to look at building small long put option positions once the S&P moved below its 20-week moving average; alternatively, you could try buying VIX-long exposure on dips, using the VIX 20-day moving average as the stop level. From what we’ve seen so far, the VIX-long position should already be profitable: $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(VIXY)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(UVXY)$ $Volatility Index - main 2603(VIXmain)$ My strategy remains un
Topping Risk Persists in U.S. Stocks: Consider Gold and VIX on Pullbacks?

Brace for a High-Volatility Market—Don’t Put Too Much Faith in Any Bounce

Since the crash last October, the weakness in crypto has not eased. With ETH breaking below 2,000 last week and BTC approaching the 60,000 level, the crypto complex has essentially been abandoned by the market. This also means its value as a leading indicator is no longer valid. After last week’s wide-range swings, precious metals are expected to enter a period of back-and-forth between bulls and bears.​ Using Bitcoin as the reference point, price broke below two key levels in a relatively short time: 100,000 and 80,000/75,000. The market’s rebound attempts have been feeble and did not even reach 100,000. Price has now fallen back to the lows from before Trump was elected; if this zone also breaks, there is basically open space below. This area also marks where many ETFs initially built po
Brace for a High-Volatility Market—Don’t Put Too Much Faith in Any Bounce

February Volatility Is Back: Is It Time to Buy the Dip in U.S. Stocks and Silver?

U.S. equity indices have recurring time windows each year that deserve extra attention—February, May, August, and October—and the first week of February that just passed seems to have “worked” again in influencing U.S. equity indices. Think back to last year: U.S. equity indices formed a cyclical top during February, and then, on news that Trump would impose tariffs globally, they fell about 20% in a short period.​ That move also produced a near-10% single-day drop—an historical record in recent years.​ Even though the pace of tariff implementation later slowed and U.S. equity indices went on to make new highs, these kinds of sharp, fast pullbacks still caused many investors unnecessary panic and losses.​ This year, at the same time window, U.S. equity indices have again experienced a simi
February Volatility Is Back: Is It Time to Buy the Dip in U.S. Stocks and Silver?

Why I’m Not Buying the Dip in U.S. Stocks—or Gold and Silver

The market’s focus is gradually shifting from gold and silver to U.S. equities, but we want to remind everyone that around the coming Spring Festival period, U.S. equities are actually the asset most in need of bearish “protection.” After a sharp sell-off, the U.S. stock market has recently seen a modest rebound, which is technically normal. However, I would not take this small rebound as evidence that Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, and U.S. equities have returned to a sustained upward trend. On the contrary, I prefer to interpret it this way: the volatility cycle in U.S. equities most likely has not finished, and this rebound looks more like a “covering” move within volatility rather than a signal that a trend has been confirmed. First signal: the DXY The first signal that U.S. equities may
Why I’m Not Buying the Dip in U.S. Stocks—or Gold and Silver
avatarReynor
02-04

Is This the Time to Bottom-Fish in Gold and Silver? Let’s Check the COTs

Last Friday (January 31), gold and silver $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $迷你白银主连 2603(QImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ suffered a historic crash—leaving countless traders wondering: Is this a golden “buy-the-dip” opportunity, or just the beginning of a deeper sell-off? Especially now that gold has started rebounding over the past couple of days, FOMO is kicking in hard. $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ $微黄金主连 2604(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黄金主连 2604(1OZmain)$ $富兰克林黄金及贵金属基金A (acc)USD(LU0496367417.USD)$ But i
Is This the Time to Bottom-Fish in Gold and Silver? Let’s Check the COTs

[Event] Gold’s Wild Ride – Are You Bullish or Bearish This Week?

Gold has been on a crazy ride. It dropped hard in the last few days, then jumped back up in one big move. Now the price is above $5,000/oz and traders are very nervous. What’s behind the move? Position unwinds and margin calls after a parabolic rally Geopolitical tension (an Iranian drone approaching a US aircraft carrier was shot down) A potential shift at the Fed, plus higher futures margin requirements Analysts still see a longer-term bull trend, but in the short term, volatility is extreme. Key levels like $4,400 support and $5,000–$5,100 resistance are in focus. So here’s the question for this week 👇 Where will spot gold $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ close this Friday ? Pick ONE of the ranges below: A. Strong bullish – closes above $5,000 B
[Event] Gold’s Wild Ride – Are You Bullish or Bearish This Week?

Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch

After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi
Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch

35% Crash: Silver Buying Opportunity?

Last Friday night, gold $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ and silve $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ r posted their largest single-day declines in history. Silver plunged as much as 35% in one day, nearly erasing all of its gains for the year in a single blow. Such extreme volatility far exceeded most investors’ expectations. However, readers who have been following my analysis should recall that I long ago characterized this silver rally as a “short squeeze”—a phenomenon not uncommon in futures markets (typically erupting in some commodity every 2–3 years). Since short squeezes are driven more by market positioning and sentiment than by fundamental supply-demand dynamics, they tend to unwind just as violentl
35% Crash: Silver Buying Opportunity?

How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?

After a near-vertical rally, gold and silver were finally “punished” last Friday, with both plunging sharply in a single day. Silver, measured from its peak, even suffered a drawdown close to being cut in half. After such a violent round-trip, do ordinary investors still have a viable trading opportunity?​ From a volatility standpoint, the current environment is no longer suitable for the vast majority of retail and traditional precious-metals traders. Moves that used to take a full year can now happen in a single day or within a week. This kind of irrational volatility also means the old stop-loss logic and methods stop working. Whether you try to buy the dip or fade a rebound, there’s a high probability you’ll get stopped out. And if someone dares to skip a stop-loss to avoid getting wic
How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?

Fed Turns Hawkish—Risk Incoming? A Silver Bear Spread Setup—and Why I’m Waiting on Gold

First, I want to share a screenshot from my previous analysis of silver and gold price action. In that earlier piece, I said silver’s short-term top—assuming the Fed did not turn more hawkish and there was no black-swan surge in the U.S. dollar—should be above 130, while gold could be headed above 5,000. A little over a week later, silver has already printed a new high, and gold has also surged well past 5,000. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ $2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ $白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ $微白银主连 2603(SILmain)$
Fed Turns Hawkish—Risk Incoming? A Silver Bear Spread Setup—and Why I’m Waiting on Gold
avatarBarcode
01-30
$SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$  💥🟡📉 GOLD JUST BROKE MARKET STRUCTURE 📉🟡💥 Gold dumped ~8% in under 60 minutes. This was a forced-liquidation flush, stop cascade, and liquidity vacuum, not a slow macro shift. $GLD just rolled off a parabolic extension, signalling volatility expansion and short-term trend exhaustion. Reclaim support = V-recovery. Reject = momentum flips to distribution. This is a regime test. 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategi
avatarReynor
01-28

Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

If there’s one clear focus in the futures market recently, it’s undoubtedly silver.But today, let’s take a step back from silver and zoom out for a broader perspective: Does the recent surge in gold and silver signal the start of a bull market in base metals? There’s a well-known commodity cycle that combines the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock with Jeremy Grantham’s concept of the “commodity supercycle launch sequence.” It goes like this: The early warning sign that an economic downturn is ending is a rise in gold and silver prices. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ Why? Because during late-stage slowdowns, real demand is weak and industrial commodities languish—so capital flows into safe-haven assets like precious metals. At the same time, central banks w
Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?