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avatarReynor
02-04

Is This the Time to Bottom-Fish in Gold and Silver? Let’s Check the COTs

Last Friday (January 31), gold and silver $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $迷你白银主连 2603(QImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ suffered a historic crash—leaving countless traders wondering: Is this a golden “buy-the-dip” opportunity, or just the beginning of a deeper sell-off? Especially now that gold has started rebounding over the past couple of days, FOMO is kicking in hard. $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ $微黄金主连 2604(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黄金主连 2604(1OZmain)$ $富兰克林黄金及贵金属基金A (acc)USD(LU0496367417.USD)$ But i
Is This the Time to Bottom-Fish in Gold and Silver? Let’s Check the COTs

[Event] Gold’s Wild Ride – Are You Bullish or Bearish This Week?

Gold has been on a crazy ride. It dropped hard in the last few days, then jumped back up in one big move. Now the price is above $5,000/oz and traders are very nervous. What’s behind the move? Position unwinds and margin calls after a parabolic rally Geopolitical tension (an Iranian drone approaching a US aircraft carrier was shot down) A potential shift at the Fed, plus higher futures margin requirements Analysts still see a longer-term bull trend, but in the short term, volatility is extreme. Key levels like $4,400 support and $5,000–$5,100 resistance are in focus. So here’s the question for this week 👇 Where will spot gold $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ close this Friday ? Pick ONE of the ranges below: A. Strong bullish – closes above $5,000 B
[Event] Gold’s Wild Ride – Are You Bullish or Bearish This Week?

Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch

After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi
Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch

35% Crash: Silver Buying Opportunity?

Last Friday night, gold $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ and silve $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ r posted their largest single-day declines in history. Silver plunged as much as 35% in one day, nearly erasing all of its gains for the year in a single blow. Such extreme volatility far exceeded most investors’ expectations. However, readers who have been following my analysis should recall that I long ago characterized this silver rally as a “short squeeze”—a phenomenon not uncommon in futures markets (typically erupting in some commodity every 2–3 years). Since short squeezes are driven more by market positioning and sentiment than by fundamental supply-demand dynamics, they tend to unwind just as violentl
35% Crash: Silver Buying Opportunity?

How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?

After a near-vertical rally, gold and silver were finally “punished” last Friday, with both plunging sharply in a single day. Silver, measured from its peak, even suffered a drawdown close to being cut in half. After such a violent round-trip, do ordinary investors still have a viable trading opportunity?​ From a volatility standpoint, the current environment is no longer suitable for the vast majority of retail and traditional precious-metals traders. Moves that used to take a full year can now happen in a single day or within a week. This kind of irrational volatility also means the old stop-loss logic and methods stop working. Whether you try to buy the dip or fade a rebound, there’s a high probability you’ll get stopped out. And if someone dares to skip a stop-loss to avoid getting wic
How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?

Fed Turns Hawkish—Risk Incoming? A Silver Bear Spread Setup—and Why I’m Waiting on Gold

First, I want to share a screenshot from my previous analysis of silver and gold price action. In that earlier piece, I said silver’s short-term top—assuming the Fed did not turn more hawkish and there was no black-swan surge in the U.S. dollar—should be above 130, while gold could be headed above 5,000. A little over a week later, silver has already printed a new high, and gold has also surged well past 5,000. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ $2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ $白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ $微白银主连 2603(SILmain)$
Fed Turns Hawkish—Risk Incoming? A Silver Bear Spread Setup—and Why I’m Waiting on Gold
avatarBarcode
01-30
$SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$  💥🟡📉 GOLD JUST BROKE MARKET STRUCTURE 📉🟡💥 Gold dumped ~8% in under 60 minutes. This was a forced-liquidation flush, stop cascade, and liquidity vacuum, not a slow macro shift. $GLD just rolled off a parabolic extension, signalling volatility expansion and short-term trend exhaustion. Reclaim support = V-recovery. Reject = momentum flips to distribution. This is a regime test. 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategi
avatarReynor
01-28

Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

If there’s one clear focus in the futures market recently, it’s undoubtedly silver.But today, let’s take a step back from silver and zoom out for a broader perspective: Does the recent surge in gold and silver signal the start of a bull market in base metals? There’s a well-known commodity cycle that combines the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock with Jeremy Grantham’s concept of the “commodity supercycle launch sequence.” It goes like this: The early warning sign that an economic downturn is ending is a rise in gold and silver prices. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ Why? Because during late-stage slowdowns, real demand is weak and industrial commodities languish—so capital flows into safe-haven assets like precious metals. At the same time, central banks w
Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

🚀 Silver Mania: $110 Broken! Is the "Poor Man's Gold" Heading for $200?

It is official: Silver has gone parabolic! 📈 Breaking the $110/oz psychological barrier this week, the metal once known as "Poor Man's Gold" has shattered its 50-year consolidation mask. With the Gold/Silver Ratio crashing from extreme highs of 100+ back to under 47, we are witnessing a historic repricing. 💥 But as FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) kicks in and retail lines up for physical bars, we have to ask: Is this a fundamental shift for $Micro Silver Futures - main 2603(SILmain)$ and $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$, or a dangerous speculative bubble waiting to burst? 🫧 1. The "Trump Put": A Green Light for Commodities? 🟢 Why the sudden explosion? Look no further than the Oval Office. 🏛️ As noted in rece
🚀 Silver Mania: $110 Broken! Is the "Poor Man's Gold" Heading for $200?

Is Trump Publicly Backing a Weaker Dollar? AreThe Dip Buyers Ready For The Market Soaring?

Earlier this Tuesday, a U.S. financial journalist asked President Donald Trump a question that has broadly worried Wall Street: “Are you concerned about the recent decline in the U.S. dollar?” Trump’s response surprised the market: he said no, he thought it was great, and that the dollar should be allowed to find its own level because that is “fair”—adding that if you look at China and Japan, they always want their currencies to depreciate. In market reporting, bullion rose as much as 1.3% on Wednesday after jumping 3.4% the day before (its biggest one-day gain since April), and Trump said he was not concerned about a weaker dollar even as the world’s premier reserve currency slid to its weakest level in nearly four years. This statement clearly reads as tacit approval—or even welcome—for
Is Trump Publicly Backing a Weaker Dollar? AreThe Dip Buyers Ready For The Market Soaring?

Chase Gold or Storage Stocks: Which Offers Better Value?

Right now, the hottest trades in the market are clearly gold and the storage sector. But the biggest problem is: we can’t catch up — prices have moved way too fast! Just five months ago, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ was widely seen as a legacy flash maker held back by aging products. Today, after a nearly 1,000% rally, it has become one of the best-performing S&P 500 stocks and a core AI trade. But it’s not just retail investors who missed it, even smart money got it wrong. The key behind-the-scenes force pushing SanDisk’s spin-off was the famous activist hedge fund Elliott Management — yet it missed most of the upside. SanDisk was spun off from Western Digital last February, largely due to Elliott’s long-term pressure. Elliott believed the combined
Chase Gold or Storage Stocks: Which Offers Better Value?

A weaker dollar and higher gold may be entering a new phase.

Last week, the upward momentum in precious metals ignored clear overbought signals on both daily and weekly timeframes. Gold and silver kept hitting fresh all-time highs, with silver firmly breaking above $ 100.This week, gold $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ has already climbed past the 5,000 mark, potentially opening the door to even more explosive gains.Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ is teetering on the edge of a major long-term trendline breakdown. If current support fails, the dollar could face a depreciation of 10% or more.On the news front, last week should have been dominated by easing geopolitical tensions—but investors weren’t buying it.Notably, the long-standing
A weaker dollar and higher gold may be entering a new phase.
avatarBarcode
01-25
$SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$   $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$  $Newmont Mining(NEM)$  🥇 📈 Gold regime breakout | $GLD flow confirms structural bull 🟡📈🥇 Options Score: 5 Monthly: +18.22% Call flow > puts IV 28% = upside without froth Positioning = institutional conviction Trend: parabolic | breakout continuation | no exhaustion | no distribution 🔥📈 Macro drivers: currency debasement | fiscal excess | geopolitical fragmentation | central-bank gold accumulation | reserve repricing | under-owned hedge | monetary regime shift Gold bull cycles avg ≈ +300% upside Cycle p

Why I Believe The Coming Gold Surge Could Be Bigger Than You Imagine

The U.S. dollar has been unusually weak recently, and multiple signs suggest this choppy weakness may persist for a while longer. The real turning point is likely to fall somewhere between March and April this year. First, China’s official USD/CNY fixing was set around 6.9 today—previously it had been in the 7-handle. This is the strongest official RMB fixing since 2023, and with the official rate now back below 7, it indicates the dollar has indeed remained weak lately. The central bank apparently does not see a problem with setting the fixing this strong。 $USD/CNH(USDCNH.FOREX)$ Second, Bloomberg reported that India again sold a large amount of U.S. Treasuries over the most recent month. India’s U.S. Treasury holdings have now fallen to
Why I Believe The Coming Gold Surge Could Be Bigger Than You Imagine
avatarBarcode
01-21
$SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$  $Barrick Mining Corporation(B)$  🚨📈✨🥇🌍 Spot gold hits a new all-time high at $4,854 per ounce 📈🔥💰 Gold extends gains to a record $4,850/oz, now up +$260 in 48 hours. Gold futures (/GC) had their best day since Apr 2020 and pushed above the top of the expanding wedge they’ve been in since late 2024. The last time was October, and they traded around it for four days before consolidating! We are all witnessing history right now! 🏆 🅗🅐🅟🅟🅨 Ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ 🅐🅗🅔🅐🅓! 🅒🅗🅔🅔🅡🅢 🅑🅒 🍀🍀🍀

Geopolitical Risk Rises—So Why Isn’t Gold Following?

Trump’s Tariff Gambit to “Buy” Greenland—What’s at Stake?Trump is clearly in full midterm-election mode—and since the start of the year, he’s delivered a new headline every week. First a strike on Venezuela, then brinkmanship with Iran, now talk of “buying” Greenland. Each move has jolted markets to some degree.The pattern is unmistakable: these regions matter because of what lies beneath them. Venezuela sits just 230 kilometers from U.S. shores and holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves. Its heavy crude perfectly complements refining capacity along the Gulf Coast.Greenland, though deep in the Arctic, is only 320 kilometers from Alaska—yet over 3,000 kilometers from Copenhagen. Geographically, it’s more America’s backyard than Denmark’s. And beneath its ice lie vast mineral deposits
Geopolitical Risk Rises—So Why Isn’t Gold Following?