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Will Gold Soar Higher? 3 Reasons To Invest Before It Rises Again

Global financial markets experienced significant turbulence during the Spring Festival holiday period. The Trump administration's new tariff policies triggered a rollercoaster pattern in European and U.S. stock markets, with initial gains reversed, while Asian markets and international crude oil prices faced downward pressure. Notably, COMEX April gold futures hit a historic high of $2,872 per ounce on February 3. The critical question now is: How will gold prices evolve moving forward? Our analysis suggests that three fundamental bullish factors could propel gold to new highs if current conditions persist.I. Tariff Policies Amplify Market Volatility, Highlighting Gold's Safe-Haven Status1. Trump Policy Impact Exceeds ExpectationsThe February 1 executive order imposing 25% additional tarif
Will Gold Soar Higher? 3 Reasons To Invest Before It Rises Again
avatar程俊Dream
02-06 15:58

Market Shifts During the Holiday: New Developments in Several Futures Varieties

During the Spring Festival holiday, although the domestic market was closed, overseas products continued to trade as usual, and some varieties even reached new highs. This means that we need to re-evaluate these new changes, and adjust the incorrect calculations or judgments. Now, let's take a look at which varieties deserve special attention after the holiday.GoldFirst and foremost, gold has hit a new all-time high. Previously, I thought that gold had peaked at around $2,800. But now it seems that this judgment might have been hasty. Although the top area is still very close, there is still room for one last upward push in the current market. Clearly, the previous triangle consolidation has now disproven the top. It also indicates that the secondary low point, which started at around $2,6
Market Shifts During the Holiday: New Developments in Several Futures Varieties
avatarTom_Brady
02-06 14:55

Gold's Historic Surge: Is Now the Time to Invest?

Gold has been on an impressive rally since the beginning of 2025, surging to new all-time highs and drawing increasing attention from investors. The price has risen by 9% this year alone, and on Wednesday, it even touched a historic peak of $2,900 per ounce. As of now, gold is trading around $2,880, continuing to spark investor interest. But is this the right time to invest? What is driving this surge in gold prices, and what gold-related assets should investors consider? Let’s find the answers in this article.The Drivers Behind Gold's Price SurgeThe recent spike in gold prices isn’t a coincidence. Several factors are contributing to the precious metal’s ascent:US-China Trade Tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China have led to increased uncertainty in the global econom
Gold's Historic Surge: Is Now the Time to Invest?

Economic and Market Review January 2025

A popular theory among traders is that US stocks rise higher in January than in other months. Appropriately deemed the January Effect, the effect is typically explained by traders entering position after tax-loss selling has completed, but over the last decade the effect has lost much of its visibility. Similarly, if stocks rise in January, the year will end positively in 85% of cases.US stocks had a volatile start to January, with the Fed raising long-term inflation targets, Trump following through on tariffs, and disruptions in the tech industry. The S&P $.SPX(.SPX)$ was buoyed by consumer spending coming in above expectations with inflation coming in at expectations.Oil prices peaked in the middle of the month at $78.71 following stronger i
Economic and Market Review January 2025

Analysis of the Gold Market's Recent Performance and Outlook

Since late December last year, the "Trump Trade" has driven up U.S. dollar interest rates and exchange rates. But gold didn't drop much; instead, the U.S. Dollar Index and gold prices rose together.In the short term, with the Federal Reserve's rate - cut expectations weakening and safe - haven buying cooling due to the Israel - Palestine deal, gold may face challenges. Long - term, in 2025 Q1, Trump's gradual tariff hikes could lead to re - inflation or economic slowdown, both good for gold prices. Also, U.S. fiscal issues affect the dollar's credit, and central banks' de - dollarization gold purchases make gold more likely to rise.The Impact of U.S. Dollar Interest Rates and Re - inflationThe Rebound of the Real U.S. Dollar Interest Rate Restricts Gold Prices: A strong U.S. job market in
Analysis of the Gold Market's Recent Performance and Outlook

Trump's MEME Coin and Its Impact on Financial Markets

I've long known that Trump doesn't play by the rules. But the fact that he launched a MEME coin over the weekend still makes me think that if he really gets a second term, he might bring huge risks to the financial markets. And this risk isn't just in the cryptocurrency market. You know, the audience in the cryptocurrency market is relatively small. This risk is likely to spread to the US stock market and even affect the global market.This weekend, people in WeChat Moments and groups were talking about how people got rich overnight with Trump coin. Actually, this kind of thing isn't new. People have made a lot of money from those so-called "shitcoins" and MEME coins before. And Elon Musk is also someone who likes to promote coins. But Trump is about to become the president again. Plus his
Trump's MEME Coin and Its Impact on Financial Markets

Are You Ready For The Drop In Oil Price?Trump's Victory May Pressure Oil Prices Through 2025

January 20th marked the inauguration of the new U.S. President, Donald Trump, officially kicking off the "Trump 2.0" era. This inauguration was quite different from past ceremonies, breaking several long-standing American traditions. For instance, it was moved from the usual outdoor setting to indoors, foreign leaders were invited—a rare exception—and it set a new record for fundraising. These unique elements definitely made the event stand out.Now, when it comes to the financial markets, what really grabs my attention are the executive orders Trump might sign after taking office. There were plenty of expectations about his policies before, but the real question is whether there will be any surprises. These unexpected moves could shake up the markets, so it's best to tread carefully when t
Are You Ready For The Drop In Oil Price?Trump's Victory May Pressure Oil Prices Through 2025

US Dollar Index (DXY) Forecast, News and Analysis

Let's talk about what happened in the forex market last week and what to expect this week.Last Week's Market RecapLast week, the US dollar had a short correction but then shot up. It closed the week higher. Meanwhile, non - US currencies kept hitting new lows. On Friday, the latest non - farm data came out way better than expected. This made the market lower its hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2025. And this could keep the US dollar strong in the short run.The US dollar had its fifth straight week of gains. On Friday, it had a big daily jump. December's non - agricultural data showed the US created more jobs than we thought. This made people think the Fed will hold off on cutting rates as fast as they thought before. But, the Fed cares a lot about inflation data. So,
US Dollar Index (DXY) Forecast, News and Analysis

Stock Market Volatility Is Back. Here's How to Play It.

In the past week, a lot of things have changed, and most of the changes are opposite to the main trend in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. With Trump officially starting his second term in the White House next week, does this "reverse" trend mean a new trend is coming or just the last correction?First of all, let's look at crude oil prices. The price has gone up for three weeks in a row, but it still hasn't helped the bulls get back to the central axis range or break through the downward trend line since 2023. But at least it's not as weak as it was before, hovering around 70. Since there isn't much direct news to drive the oil prices, it's hard to say how reliable this increase is during the semi-holiday period. Whether it can break through the trend line resistance this week or nex
Stock Market Volatility Is Back. Here's How to Play It.

Gold Price Forecasts for 2025: 3000 Is Just Beginning

2025 is a new year for every investors,but if the turmoil and conflicts increase in this year, it means that the "risk aversion" sentiment will exist for a long time, and it will have a long-term bullish effect on "risk aversion" assets. Of course, long-term bullish does not mean that there will be no major turmoil in the short term. It is just observed at the annual level that the price of gold has a certain increase every year, but the fluctuation in the middle of the year is not necessarily small.How long does the long-term bull market in gold prices last?According to the observation of the interest rate cut and depreciation cycle of the US dollar, the US dollar is in the interest rate cut stage, which usually causes inflationary sentiment; When the US dollar is in a volatile stage, it
Gold Price Forecasts for 2025: 3000 Is Just Beginning

2025 Gold Forecast: $3000 And Possibly Beyond

With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in December last year and the landing of the dot plot, a recent Goldman Sachs report pointed out that gold prices are no longer expected to hit US $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, but need toArrival postponed until mid-2026,In other words, the newly revised view is about half a year later than the original judgment.In 2024, the price of gold will soar by 27.6%, outperforming most major asset classes except the pie and natural gas accident. Statistics in this area, I mentioned in the previous article, the market generally believes that this wave of rise in gold prices is affected by the loose monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, increased demand for safe havens, and continued gold purchases by global central banks.However, since the be
2025 Gold Forecast: $3000 And Possibly Beyond

No Worries on Inflation, Just Sell on News, I Bought PUT to Dodge Drop

High inflation expectation draged the Tuesday market?The US stock market closed down on Tuesday, with the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ experiencing the largest volume drop in history. Star stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , quantum technology concept stocks like $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ , and $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ concept stocks like $CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$, my previous holding all fell.Since I sold $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ at $146 in the early trading, I bought the Call of $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(UVXY)$
No Worries on Inflation, Just Sell on News, I Bought PUT to Dodge Drop

Is A US Stock Market Correction Coming?

In the first week of the year, the U.S. stock index rebounded in a relatively calm environment. As weekly-level lows appear, important swing lows also appear simultaneously. Throughout January, if the stock price goes down again and breaks through the support, we need to be alert to large-scale correction that will follow.Due to the poor performance of heavyweights in the Nasdaq Index, there was actually a slight puncture in the previous weekly market. However, considering the overall synchronization of the index, we still believe that the support area formed by 21000/20983 has not fallen. The last time the Nasdaq broke weekly level was in 24 years, when it fell from 20,000 to around 17,000 at most. In addition, it should be noted that from the monthly chart, the index has left an obvious
Is A US Stock Market Correction Coming?

What To Expect From The US Stock Market In 2025

Entering the new year, it's time to update the forward-looking series of anticipation for this year's market overview. I have shared and discussed this series with you every January since 2019. It is obvious to all how accurate it is. Although the details are slightly biased, the general direction is generally correct. I suggest you keep it for later use and continue to review it later. Be prepared for more investment. As usual, let's start with the U.S. stock index.Recently, some domestic economists are discussing the situation of the U.S. stock market, believing that the U.S. stock index will burst and fall in the next 3-6 months. Although I am skeptical about whether the data listed in the report will burst within 3-6 months, I agree that there is a bubble in the US stock index.Looking
What To Expect From The US Stock Market In 2025

💥 Gold Market 2025 Outlook: Influencing Factors & PTs by Institutions

The main events affecting international $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2024(MGC2412)$ prices in 2024 included expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which spurred continuous gold purchases by central banks globally; geopolitical tensions in Russia-Ukraine, the Middle East, Israel-Lebanon, and Israel-Gaza, which drove safe-haven gold prices higher; an unexpected 50BP rate cut by the Fed in September, which initiated a second round of gold price increases for 2024; and after the US elections, economic uncertainty decreased, causing gold prices to retreat.1. The specific moves of gold in 2024 can be divided into the following stages:Early January to February (Volatile Phas
💥 Gold Market 2025 Outlook: Influencing Factors & PTs by Institutions
avatarIvan_Gan
2024-12-31

Stock Market Volatility: Panic or Opportunity?

2025 is coming soon, and I wish all investors a successful start!!!Different from previous years, since January 2025, the financial market has ushered in an important drama. Trump, the "new emperor", will hold his inauguration ceremony on January 20th, and the policies and measures implemented after his inauguration will become the focus of the financial market in the future.Because Trump, a businessman, is good at negotiation and flexibility, before the policy is fully implemented, the variables are still large, so the financial market will also cause corresponding fluctuations due to this change. Of course, after the fluctuation, it is better to pay attention to the opportunity.Will U.S. stocks undergo deep adjustments?I have seen some analysis reports recently, and I am not very optimis
Stock Market Volatility: Panic or Opportunity?
avatar许亚鑫
2024-12-27

Outlook for Gold Price: Opportunities In Spring Next Year

After Christmas, the the US Dollar Index continued to fluctuate near the high of 108.25. The previous high point appeared at the high of 108.54 on December 20. It was also the high point pushed up by the strong market buying after the Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate cut last week.Morgan Stanley pointed out in a latest report that the U.S. fiscal deficit is expected to decrease next year, while the German fiscal deficit will increase, which may lead to the convergence of interest rates between the United States and Europe.This triggered a sharp depreciation of the US dollar.PicturesBescent, the nominated next U.S. Treasury Secretary, has previously said that the goal of reducing the deficit to 3% of GDP will be a priority. Morgan Stanley said in the report that this commitment is ge
Outlook for Gold Price: Opportunities In Spring Next Year
avatar程俊Dream
2024-12-26

The Fed shifts its attitude? Here are such trading opportunities

Last week's Federal Reserve decision had no variables in terms of interest rates, and the interest rate cut of 25 basis points was in line with market expectations. However, at the press conference after the meeting, Chairman Powell gave the expectation of only two interest rate cuts in 2025, which was regarded as an eagle statement, so the market showed an obvious overall general decline. Although the short-term decline is obvious, for some trending varieties, the bad news is likely to bring better entry opportunities.From the news point of view, both the dot plot and the Fed's statement hint at an upward trend in medium and long-term interest rates. But it should be noted that the Fed is not much better at predicting the long-term economy than most market participants. This means that th
The Fed shifts its attitude? Here are such trading opportunities
avatarIvan_Gan
2024-12-24

Should We Buy The Dip Following The Hawkish FED Meeting

In the early morning of Thursday, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve held its last interest rate meeting at the end of this year. As in the past, the results of the meeting itself have been fully expected by the market. What is important is the dot plot after the meeting and the expectation of next year's interest rate path revealed by the Federal Reserve Chairman's speech, which is the core that affects market prices. After last week's meeting, gold prices in the stock market plummeted.It shows that the market has lowered its expectation of the number of interest rate cuts next year. I'm afraid this expectation will not change until the new president takes office and the next interest rate meeting, so I hope everyone will remain cautious about the market.Does it have any impact on the US s
Should We Buy The Dip Following The Hawkish FED Meeting
avatar许亚鑫
2024-12-19
I don't think it is necessary to emphasize the prospect of the medium-term trend of the market. From the short-term trend outlook, I mean the period from mid-December to the end of the month before New Year's Day. Whether there is still a red envelope market in the market, whether the level is large or not, the main external factor isTonight's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.It's quite simple,If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of a dovish interest rate cut, then we will usher in a big red envelope market; If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of hawkish interest rate cuts, then we will have a market, but it is expected to be structural, just like the shocks you saw in the past November-December.So, how do you determine whether it is a pigeon or an eag